@0x7d949C…1609

#2,800,41961

0x7d949c425df72d50be70bde1bc7ca16a57173249

~10d· 28 markets · 61 tradesVol: $6,3792026-08-05 02:38:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

61
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (12/23)11.1/20
1.24x (win $1,293 / loss $1,044)5.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.01115/15
Sortino 5.94210/10
$+0.1190 per $1 invested6/10
HHI 1215 (23 markets)6.4/10
6/10 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 97% of peak ($320 / $330)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
56% entries < $0.55

Categories

7
⚽ SPORTS#1,772,581$-313Vol: $3,506
🏛️ POLITICS#66,902$92Vol: $2,149
💰 FINANCE#638,086$-142Vol: $380
₿ CRYPTO#137,124$42Vol: $152
📈 ECONOMICS#648,201$-50Vol: $118
🌤️ WEATHER#16,976$18Vol: $38
📢 MENTIONS#18,367$12Vol: $35

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-341
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,379
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
28
total markets
Trades
32B / 29S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $0
Month
$-16
Vol: $0
All Time
$-341
Vol: $6,379

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
52%
12W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$-341
Win Rate
52%
12W / 11L
Profit Factor
1.24x
Avg Win
$108
Avg Loss
$-104

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $991 (2.9058268362741075% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$489
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$265
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$237
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei$93
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$72
Government shutdown on Saturday?$49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 14?$25
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?$18
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$17
Will "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$12

Top Losers

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-400
Will France be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?$-200
Will a player representing Norway be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-114
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$-80
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of February?$-50
Will the US strike Iran next?$-50
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?$-50
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?$-50
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 30?$-25
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$-25

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.149
Sortino
0.426
HHI
1194
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.106
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21.4%
Top-5 markets
69.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
7/24
Normal
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
16
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.8

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 182s — normal for humanCV 0.56 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours7/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.78
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.2%
Mid (20-55c)50%
High (>55c)43.8%

Sessions

#12
7/15/2026, 9:13:20 PM14 trades$9192 min
7/9/2026, 8:16:47 PM16 trades$7081 min
7/11/2026, 8:30:10 PM5 trades$3913 min
7/19/2026, 9:12:24 PM2 trades$2480 min
1/14/2026, 5:41:02 AM4 trades$2455 min
1/14/2026, 5:53:06 AM2 trades$2001 min
1/15/2026, 5:16:46 AM2 trades$1501 min
1/29/2026, 10:25:14 PM4 trades$1368 min
1/15/2026, 5:27:16 AM2 trades$1253 min
1/14/2026, 6:00:26 AM1 trades$500 min
1/15/2026, 5:35:30 AM1 trades$500 min
1/15/2026, 5:42:54 AM1 trades$500 min
7/19/2026, 8:45:04 PM3 trades$490 min
1/17/2026, 2:46:54 AM2 trades$443 min
2/4/2026, 11:08:23 PM1 trades$400 min
2/22/2026, 11:56:44 PM1 trades$100 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-14
01-15
01-17
01-29
02-04
02-22
07-09
07-11
07-15
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 175 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.78/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.2 / M50 / H43.8