@erokha

#14,13023

0x7dbc916b0c3360c955870a49304d75916a64d4ad

~117d· 67 markets · 3028 tradesVol: $673,6892026-08-05 11:56:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (29/61)8.8/20
0.85x (win $18,139 / loss $21,293)0.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0820/15
Sortino -1.4940/10
$-0.0771 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 543 (61 markets)9.8/10
18/40 profitable days (45%)3.8/10
Max DD 266% of peak ($6,513 / $2,450)0/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+10,357
Lottery Player
86% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
3% sells
DCA Master
Avg 8.0 entries/market
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
96% maker orders

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,612,864$-955Vol: $442,931
SPORTS#3,644$15,383Vol: $127,928
💰 FINANCE#8,424$374Vol: $82,643
🌤️ WEATHER#299,183$-3,423Vol: $12,053
CRYPTO#1,617,541$-926Vol: $5,667
🎭 CULTURE#49,144$20Vol: $2,018
📢 MENTIONS#149,347$-29Vol: $450

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$10,443
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$673,689
Total Redeem
$2,874
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
67
total markets
Trades
2947B / 81S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~117d

Periods

#2
Today
$17
Vol: $264
Week
$87
Vol: $7,587
Month
$3,706
Vol: $30,711
All Time
$10,443
Vol: $673,689

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
29W / 32L events
Realized PnL
$10,357
Win Rate
48%
29W / 32L
Profit Factor
0.85x
Avg Win
$625
Avg Loss
$-665

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,931 (0.9588416135454705% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?$3,850
O/U 2.5 Rounds$3,234
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Oumar Sy (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$2,846
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)$1,730
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)$1,222
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?$1,121
UFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims)$1,000
O/U 2.5 Rounds$923
O/U 2.5 Rounds$436
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy$374

Top Losers

O/U 2.5 Rounds$-3,394
Will there be between 6 and 9 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?$-3,296
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims)$-1,123
Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?$-1,120
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)$-1,082
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)$-1,000
UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti (Bantamweight, Main Card)$-1,000
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$-1,000
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$-990
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?$-956

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.056
Sortino
-0.074
HHI
373
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.085
Kelly %
1.5%
Half-Kelly
0.7%
Top-1 market
8.2%
Top-5 markets
35.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.1
Active
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
52.4m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.9

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 526s — normal for humanCV 6.70 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock15 trades/day — very active0.3 markets/day — normal96% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)85.5%
Mid (20-55c)12.2%
High (>55c)2.3%

Sessions

#12
5/28/2026, 10:34:46 PM2 trades$2,4121 min
2/2/2026, 2:52:28 PM1 trades$2,3710 min
4/26/2026, 12:40:26 AM4 trades$2,0010 min
2/4/2026, 6:48:37 PM6 trades$1,4815 min
2/4/2026, 8:10:12 AM2 trades$1,4540 min
2/8/2026, 4:34:27 PM2 trades$1,0710 min
1/31/2026, 6:41:42 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
6/6/2026, 9:21:31 AM1 trades$1,0000 min
3/15/2026, 12:18:37 AM1 trades$1,0000 min
6/19/2026, 3:10:20 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
4/25/2026, 11:36:26 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
4/8/2026, 9:32:09 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
1/26/2026, 11:05:55 PM1 trades$9970 min
2/5/2026, 8:25:53 PM2 trades$9900 min
5/15/2026, 10:39:49 PM11 trades$9680 min
5/7/2026, 12:34:09 AM1 trades$9590 min
2/4/2026, 12:38:08 PM1 trades$8940 min
2/16/2026, 9:41:09 AM1 trades$8790 min
4/25/2026, 6:59:08 PM2 trades$8063 min
3/9/2026, 5:24:13 AM1 trades$8040 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-15
02-04
02-17
03-02
03-19
05-09
06-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 7 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
2.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L85.5 / M12.2 / H2.3