breakingcute

@breakingcute

#22,50161

0x7dff73963ab261ee6b673b1af34cef0a09fc1f35

~245d· 519 markets · 4061 tradesVol: $628,287 @shawnli18742026-08-04 15:07:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

61
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

39% (188/487)4.3/20
1.35x (win $31,720 / loss $23,527)6.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.75915/15
Sortino 2.56710/10
$+0.0529 per $1 invested2.6/10
HHI 153 (487 markets)10/10
86/164 profitable days (52%)5.6/10
Max DD 36% of peak ($3,588 / $9,947)6.8/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+5,811
Lottery Player
48% entries < $0.20
Whale
$154,814 invested
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
76% maker orders

Categories

9
🎭 CULTURE#40,312$30Vol: $226,849
🏛️ POLITICS#7,429$3,931Vol: $154,100
💰 FINANCE#641,597$-195Vol: $78,196
CRYPTO#49,868$361Vol: $67,361
📈 ECONOMICS#3,580$787Vol: $52,700
SPORTS#51,605$600Vol: $27,191
💻 TECH#3,344$264Vol: $20,190
🌤️ WEATHER#12,367$35Vol: $1,500
📢 MENTIONS#104,221$-3Vol: $200

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,811
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$628,287
Total Redeem
$4,800
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
519
total markets
Trades
3347B / 714S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~245d

Periods

#2
Today
$231
Vol: $944
Week
$197
Vol: $3,277
Month
$515
Vol: $4,677
All Time
$5,811
Vol: $628,287

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
39%
188W / 299L events
Realized PnL
$5,811
Win Rate
39%
188W / 299L
Profit Factor
1.35x
Avg Win
$169
Avg Loss
$-81

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,868 (0.8377047685098342% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1,822
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$1,594
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1,452
Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?$1,337
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$1,110
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$982
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$904
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?$811
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$759
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$737

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-3,466
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?$-1,867
Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?$-1,565
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$-1,354
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-770
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-538
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be greater than 67m?$-522
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 57m and 62m?$-455
Will Etsy (ETSY) beat quarterly earnings?$-445
Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31?$-394

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.092
Sortino
0.102
HHI
225
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.048
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.9%
Top-5 markets
22.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.1
Active
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.28
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 480s — normal for humanCV 2.28 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active1.8 markets/day — normal76% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.96
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)48.3%
Mid (20-55c)19%
High (>55c)32.7%

Sessions

#12
6/15/2026, 1:43:37 AM2 trades$1,9860 min
12/25/2025, 2:30:11 AM7 trades$1,9143 min
1/9/2026, 6:30:32 AM3 trades$1,9085 min
7/3/2026, 2:10:13 PM4 trades$1,6181 min
12/15/2025, 11:18:09 AM3 trades$1,5696 min
7/13/2026, 2:05:58 PM7 trades$1,5445 min
4/24/2026, 3:26:54 AM15 trades$1,5360 min
1/13/2026, 3:05:11 AM2 trades$1,5341 min
7/1/2026, 1:22:13 AM2 trades$1,5000 min
6/3/2026, 8:03:33 PM1 trades$1,4570 min
1/4/2026, 5:15:01 AM1 trades$1,4430 min
1/3/2026, 3:39:45 PM4 trades$1,4077 min
12/11/2025, 10:30:47 AM15 trades$1,3853 min
8/2/2026, 9:39:29 AM4 trades$1,3392 min
12/31/2025, 4:11:35 PM1 trades$1,2890 min
6/1/2026, 5:01:10 PM3 trades$1,1960 min
4/24/2026, 4:57:12 AM1 trades$1,1960 min
12/30/2025, 9:45:53 AM5 trades$1,1941 min
7/18/2026, 1:41:03 AM2 trades$1,1280 min
1/28/2026, 1:40:17 PM2 trades$1,1221 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-22
11-30
12-31
02-01
04-08
06-11
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 28 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
17.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.96/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L48.3 / M19 / H32.7