@lightsout912

#47,13574

0x7e1d3cb44c3f2a6ec9abc667820ee2645bd44d41

~237d· 455 markets · 1564 tradesVol: $170,9002026-08-04 18:55:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

74
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

75% (329/440)20/20
1.37x (win $12,156 / loss $8,880)7.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.51315/15
Sortino 2.18510/10
$+0.0375 per $1 invested1.9/10
HHI 92 (440 markets)10/10
149/197 profitable days (76%)10/10
Max DD 88% of peak ($2,893 / $3,298)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 75%
Profitable
PnL $+2,278
Whale
$87,489 invested
Consistent
149/197 profitable days
Win Streak
19 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
75% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#34,990$315Vol: $45,097
💻 TECH#3,369$262Vol: $42,868
SPORTS#57,342$491Vol: $35,316
CRYPTO#37,490$672Vol: $22,731
💰 FINANCE#5,647$649Vol: $14,999
🎭 CULTURE#40,877$29Vol: $4,532
📈 ECONOMICS#669,954$-225Vol: $4,264
📢 MENTIONS#6,924$80Vol: $756
🌤️ WEATHER#24,626$8Vol: $237

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,278
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$170,900
Total Redeem
$1,228
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
455
total markets
Trades
1292B / 272S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~237d

Periods

#2
Today
$112
Vol: $709
Week
$120
Vol: $1,184
Month
$109
Vol: $1,742
All Time
$2,278
Vol: $170,900

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
75%
329W / 111L events
Realized PnL
$2,278
Win Rate
75%
329W / 111L
Profit Factor
1.37x
Avg Win
$37
Avg Loss
$-85

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,649 (1.6020239271210623% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$2,026
Will Lionel Messi win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,090
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$533
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$414
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$390
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$192
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$192
Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?$185
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?$170
Up Only podcast released by November 30?$155

Top Losers

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$-1,200
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-979
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-885
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-795
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-492
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?$-488
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$-478
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-322
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$-267
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?$-236

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.079
Sortino
0.062
HHI
134
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.032
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.2%
Top-5 markets
15.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
28.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1h
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1692s — normal for humanCV 1.77 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal1.2 markets/day — normal75% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.7
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.4%
Mid (20-55c)12%
High (>55c)73.6%

Sessions

#12
7/31/2026, 4:27:48 PM2 trades$2,1180 min
4/8/2026, 8:23:31 PM9 trades$1,6944 min
2/9/2026, 8:53:09 AM3 trades$1,5292 min
6/30/2026, 4:22:31 PM4 trades$1,3090 min
4/8/2026, 8:35:53 PM3 trades$1,1472 min
3/31/2026, 12:34:49 PM4 trades$1,0985 min
6/14/2026, 9:36:34 PM2 trades$1,0611 min
6/11/2026, 1:54:30 AM3 trades$1,0000 min
4/1/2026, 2:23:21 PM1 trades$9900 min
6/11/2026, 3:58:01 PM2 trades$9861 min
5/1/2026, 1:01:12 AM8 trades$9534 min
6/14/2026, 10:28:58 PM4 trades$9267 min
6/16/2026, 11:52:54 AM2 trades$8900 min
3/30/2026, 4:19:31 PM4 trades$8619 min
2/16/2026, 9:51:53 PM5 trades$7790 min
2/9/2026, 8:23:51 PM2 trades$7760 min
7/19/2026, 10:12:30 PM24 trades$76314 min
2/8/2026, 8:26:55 PM3 trades$7523 min
2/7/2026, 6:29:03 PM1 trades$7400 min
2/4/2026, 5:45:39 PM1 trades$7080 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-19
12-08
01-29
03-12
05-01
06-11
07-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 57 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
17.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.7/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.4 / M12 / H73.6