@Gumblec

#374,06015

0x7e5499800974cc7160ba424a0fd1e1cfec23c6f4

~10d· 9 markets · 55 tradesVol: $15,6242026-08-04 20:41:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (2/4)10/20
0.26x (win $80 / loss $303)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.0804 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2502 (4 markets)0/10
2/4 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 379% of peak ($303 / $80)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+29
Lottery Player
36% entries < $0.20

Categories

1
🏛️ POLITICS#114,379$29Vol: $15,624

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$29
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,624
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
9
total markets
Trades
33B / 22S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
2W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$29
Win Rate
50%
2W / 2L
Profit Factor
0.26x
Avg Win
$40
Avg Loss
$-151

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $80 (2.7123473541383993% of PnL)

Top Winners

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?$42
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$38

Top Losers

Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?$-191
US x China tariff agreement by July 31?$-111

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.483
Sortino
-0.986
HHI
1392
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.143
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
33.6%
Top-5 markets
56.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
7/24
Normal
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
21s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
38%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
18
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 21s — normal for humanCV 1.56 — diverse sizes (human-like)38% night trades — never sleeps7/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.5
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)36.4%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)63.6%

Sessions

#12
7/27/2026, 6:34:40 AM4 trades$9201 min
7/21/2026, 6:15:40 AM4 trades$9100 min
7/27/2026, 8:45:22 AM4 trades$8700 min
7/3/2026, 3:17:04 AM4 trades$8400 min
4/10/2026, 7:04:03 AM12 trades$6221 min
6/21/2026, 5:08:32 AM6 trades$5450 min
5/1/2026, 5:25:56 AM2 trades$4800 min
5/1/2026, 6:52:12 AM1 trades$4670 min
4/21/2026, 8:30:30 AM2 trades$4600 min
4/21/2026, 11:15:40 AM1 trades$4220 min
4/12/2026, 8:32:57 AM2 trades$3800 min
4/13/2026, 2:38:05 AM1 trades$3120 min
7/27/2026, 6:55:01 AM2 trades$701 min
7/27/2026, 5:44:36 AM2 trades$570 min
7/21/2026, 3:07:54 AM2 trades$444 min
7/3/2026, 2:19:07 AM2 trades$420 min
6/21/2026, 3:09:40 AM2 trades$330 min
4/9/2026, 6:41:51 AM2 trades$140 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-21
05-01
07-21
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 87 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.5/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L36.4 / M0 / H63.6