@Dodgson

#2,833,44836

0x7e6ab392b16a2fdeb6a6598149ff8cded6361435

~14d· 23 markets · 103 tradesVol: $31,1232026-08-04 23:42:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

67% (10/15)18.3/20
0.42x (win $245 / loss $587)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.4840/15
Sortino -5.4910/10
$-0.0526 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 859 (15 markets)8.2/10
6/9 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 240% of peak ($587 / $245)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 67%
Lottery Player
45% entries < $0.20
Consistent
6/9 profitable days

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#262,362$3Vol: $25,322
SPORTS#1,789,397$-446Vol: $5,189

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-443
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$31,123
Total Redeem
$1,458
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
23
total markets
Trades
64B / 39S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
67%
10W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$-443
Win Rate
67%
10W / 5L
Profit Factor
0.42x
Avg Win
$24
Avg Loss
$-147

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $142 (0.3211611331649224% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)$59
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?$54
Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5)$29
Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5)$26
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$26
Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)$18
Spread: AFC Unirea Slobozia (-1.5)$11
Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-1.5)$9
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?$7
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?$6

Top Losers

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?$-281
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?$-123
Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-2.5)$-101
Spread: Hong Kong SAR (-2.5)$-82

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.271
Sortino
-0.261
HHI
669
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.062
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.5%
Top-5 markets
46.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
57.4m
between trades
Night Trading
59%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
39
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 281s — normal for humanCV 1.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)59% night trades — never sleeps9/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.93
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)45.3%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)54.7%

Sessions

#12
6/9/2026, 4:34:33 AM6 trades$1,1222 min
5/25/2026, 3:22:44 AM6 trades$1,0902 min
7/30/2026, 6:34:50 AM6 trades$9619 min
7/15/2026, 2:25:56 AM3 trades$9300 min
7/30/2026, 7:38:03 AM3 trades$8900 min
7/11/2026, 5:44:35 AM4 trades$8700 min
7/11/2026, 2:25:28 AM4 trades$8500 min
6/27/2026, 5:19:47 AM4 trades$8000 min
6/27/2026, 6:49:40 AM4 trades$7800 min
6/27/2026, 7:49:43 AM4 trades$7751 min
6/16/2026, 5:29:19 AM4 trades$6450 min
6/21/2026, 6:05:50 AM4 trades$6200 min
7/15/2026, 1:47:19 AM3 trades$5202 min
5/10/2026, 5:36:41 AM2 trades$4450 min
5/11/2026, 9:04:01 AM2 trades$4450 min
5/11/2026, 6:17:53 AM2 trades$4400 min
5/10/2026, 7:00:55 AM2 trades$4390 min
5/11/2026, 7:12:31 AM1 trades$4380 min
4/26/2026, 2:37:20 AM2 trades$4350 min
5/10/2026, 6:42:55 AM1 trades$4270 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-08
04-11
04-15
04-26
05-10
05-11
05-25
06-09
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 61 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.93/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L45.3 / M0 / H54.7