@firemeng
#435,482190x7f1816e16059c8aa75766c353c675252bd7b267b
~20d· 24 markets · 72 tradesVol: $1,6062026-08-05 17:28:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
47% (8/17)8.5/20
0.76x (win $181 / loss $238)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.9090/15
Sortino -3.5280/10
$-0.1196 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1296 (17 markets)6/10
6/13 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 189% of peak ($146 / $77)0/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+17
Contrarian
54% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 5.3 entries/market
Categories
4⚽ SPORTS#224,966$21Vol: $1,018
🏛️ POLITICS#122,208$25Vol: $333
📈 ECONOMICS#561,882$-4Vol: $127
💻 TECH#24,174$5Vol: $87
Overview
#1Net PnL
$17
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,606
Total Redeem
$10
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
24
total markets
Trades
37B / 35S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d
Periods
#2Today
$-3
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$16
Vol: $0
All Time
$17
Vol: $1,606
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
47%
8W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$17
Win Rate
47%
8W / 9L
Profit Factor
0.76x
Avg Win
$23
Avg Loss
$-34
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $134 (7.919764011799411% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$65
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$53
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$16
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$12
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$11
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$11
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$7
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$7
Top Losers
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$-90
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-68
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?$-20
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-18
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?$-16
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?$-16
US recession in 2025?$-10
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.146
Sortino
-0.203
HHI
1629
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.100
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
22%
Top-5 markets
82.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.2h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
31
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 567s — normal for humanCV 0.67 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours13/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal47% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 13:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.29
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)16.2%
Mid (20-55c)37.8%
High (>55c)45.9%
Sessions
#127/16/2026, 1:24:44 PM4 trades$1602 min
7/11/2026, 2:01:25 PM4 trades$983 min
7/15/2026, 1:39:19 PM2 trades$850 min
6/19/2026, 3:09:55 AM2 trades$620 min
7/26/2026, 1:45:39 PM2 trades$500 min
7/26/2026, 1:39:06 PM3 trades$470 min
6/19/2026, 7:39:26 AM5 trades$450 min
6/19/2026, 7:47:19 AM6 trades$443 min
6/29/2026, 2:51:38 PM2 trades$380 min
6/20/2026, 1:05:46 PM2 trades$330 min
6/14/2026, 12:28:42 PM4 trades$320 min
6/17/2026, 2:17:26 PM2 trades$310 min
7/5/2026, 2:39:56 PM2 trades$300 min
7/23/2026, 6:39:31 PM1 trades$290 min
6/14/2026, 1:27:51 PM2 trades$280 min
6/29/2026, 11:52:56 PM3 trades$280 min
6/22/2026, 8:01:01 AM4 trades$272 min
7/16/2026, 1:11:23 PM2 trades$240 min
7/18/2026, 2:10:45 PM2 trades$230 min
3/5/2026, 12:38:35 AM1 trades$200 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-28
03-24
06-19
06-22
07-05
07-15
07-23
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 32 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.29/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.2 / M37.8 / H45.9