@mitchira111

#2,441,80013

0x7f84f1fae593ceae1b23827b4d8a4032fd33b4c4

~82d· 119 markets · 540 tradesVol: $14,3772026-08-04 20:05:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

34% (40/119)1.8/20
0.61x (win $957 / loss $1,579)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.6590/15
Sortino -3.2960/10
$-0.1726 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 702 (119 markets)9/10
22/59 profitable days (37%)1.8/10
Max DD 291% of peak ($947 / $326)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
59% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,487,453$-65Vol: $5,579
💰 FINANCE#29,605$39Vol: $5,569
CRYPTO#1,380,211$-47Vol: $3,167
📢 MENTIONS#23,870$6Vol: $61

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-68
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,377
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
119
total markets
Trades
279B / 261S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~82d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
34%
40W / 79L events
Realized PnL
$-68
Win Rate
34%
40W / 79L
Profit Factor
0.61x
Avg Win
$24
Avg Loss
$-22

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $462 (6.813062066932036% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$289
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?$98
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of June 29 2026?$75
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?$62
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,150 Week of June 8 2026?$62
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?$50
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 22?$39
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$33
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$25
Will Warsh say "FED" during June Press Conference?$23

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-351
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$-194
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-96
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 11?$-75
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in July?$-71
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of July 13 2026?$-56
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$-52
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?$-51
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of July 13 2026?$-51
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 6?$-42

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.138
Sortino
-0.153
HHI
1652
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.126
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
29.9%
Top-5 markets
73.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
57.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.1h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.44
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3428s — normal for humanCV 2.44 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.04
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.2%
Mid (20-55c)42.3%
High (>55c)40.5%

Sessions

#12
3/26/2026, 2:37:45 PM2 trades$7001 min
3/15/2026, 8:46:31 AM2 trades$4811 min
3/21/2026, 12:40:31 AM1 trades$3300 min
4/25/2026, 4:48:22 AM10 trades$1950 min
7/24/2026, 8:48:39 PM6 trades$1708 min
5/1/2026, 1:34:30 PM9 trades$1600 min
4/19/2026, 6:58:12 AM6 trades$1591 min
4/27/2026, 9:26:44 PM4 trades$1582 min
7/26/2026, 6:07:13 AM2 trades$1500 min
4/25/2026, 2:05:44 PM2 trades$1150 min
7/13/2026, 12:39:38 AM5 trades$1080 min
4/22/2026, 11:31:36 AM2 trades$1020 min
4/25/2026, 2:23:42 PM3 trades$1010 min
4/25/2026, 3:19:50 PM1 trades$920 min
6/10/2026, 6:36:19 PM3 trades$900 min
4/22/2026, 10:32:52 AM6 trades$881 min
6/13/2026, 8:27:04 PM2 trades$860 min
4/17/2026, 5:38:20 PM6 trades$840 min
6/14/2026, 3:57:48 PM2 trades$810 min
6/24/2026, 12:50:56 PM3 trades$811 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-25
03-18
04-16
04-30
06-04
06-20
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 134 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.04/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L17.2 / M42.3 / H40.5