honololo

@honololo

#2,432,24961

0x7ff645cd99562640036b28aec957ada3ecd8010e

~33d· 82 markets · 278 tradesVol: $6,7502026-08-04 23:27:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

61
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (35/78)7.4/20
1.33x (win $691 / loss $521)6.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.12215/15
Sortino 3.52110/10
$+0.1315 per $1 invested6.6/10
HHI 779 (78 markets)8.6/10
15/30 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 60% of peak ($195 / $326)2/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
52% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

3
⚽ SPORTS#1,669,663$-95Vol: $6,610
💰 FINANCE#36,961$24Vol: $124
₿ CRYPTO#279,070$6Vol: $16

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-65
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,750
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
82
total markets
Trades
132B / 146S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~33d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $1
Month
$-55
Vol: $73
All Time
$-65
Vol: $6,750

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
35W / 43L events
Realized PnL
$-65
Win Rate
45%
35W / 43L
Profit Factor
1.33x
Avg Win
$20
Avg Loss
$-20

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $273 (4.189819073903711% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$98
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5$94
Knicks vs. Spurs$81
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$56
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?$48
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-23?$45
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-06-27?$43
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5$27
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 2.5$24
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5$21

Top Losers

Spurs vs. Knicks$-100
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to Score$-89
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-65
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$-40
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$-40
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies$-33
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)$-20
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels$-20
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$-20
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.109
Sortino
0.156
HHI
1340
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.098
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
26.4%
Top-5 markets
69%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
23.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.8h
between trades
Night Trading
43%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1380s — normal for humanCV 2.25 — diverse sizes (human-like)43% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity4 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal47% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.14
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.7%
Mid (20-55c)28.8%
High (>55c)48.5%

Sessions

#12
6/9/2026, 3:12:15 AM4 trades$2911 min
6/27/2026, 1:30:43 PM10 trades$2607 min
6/14/2026, 3:23:33 AM3 trades$1650 min
6/20/2026, 2:54:01 AM2 trades$1470 min
6/12/2026, 5:06:16 AM5 trades$1240 min
6/11/2026, 1:29:22 AM7 trades$1022 min
8/1/2026, 12:38:35 PM3 trades$680 min
5/24/2026, 1:07:10 PM2 trades$650 min
6/13/2026, 2:15:57 AM9 trades$604 min
5/26/2026, 5:21:22 AM7 trades$510 min
6/27/2026, 1:22:49 PM8 trades$492 min
6/8/2026, 3:08:01 PM11 trades$444 min
6/14/2026, 2:47:07 AM8 trades$435 min
7/3/2026, 8:57:58 AM2 trades$430 min
5/23/2026, 11:13:20 AM2 trades$430 min
6/6/2026, 12:37:09 AM8 trades$403 min
6/10/2026, 11:52:24 PM6 trades$401 min
5/21/2026, 7:49:41 AM3 trades$380 min
7/5/2026, 11:22:22 AM2 trades$270 min
6/7/2026, 5:07:25 AM6 trades$262 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-21
06-02
06-10
06-16
06-22
07-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 13 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.14/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.7 / M28.8 / H48.5