@Trumppicker
#101,962570x80324cd0c823e018bf427c7365724656f1057c6c
~223d· 706 markets · 2229 tradesVol: $269,2822026-08-04 21:04:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
57
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
45% (317/697)7.7/20
1.20x (win $11,801 / loss $9,805)5/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.25715/15
Sortino 2.91410/10
$+0.0612 per $1 invested3.1/10
HHI 82 (697 markets)10/10
88/191 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 60% of peak ($1,276 / $2,127)2/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+656
Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
7🎭 CULTURE#3,847$1,488Vol: $172,638
🏛️ POLITICS#1,591,421$-418Vol: $66,440
📢 MENTIONS#166,138$-127Vol: $21,119
📈 ECONOMICS#665,912$-154Vol: $4,590
⚽ SPORTS#1,554,012$-38Vol: $2,543
💰 FINANCE#618,069$-49Vol: $1,140
💻 TECH#243,386$-46Vol: $812
Overview
#1Net PnL
$656
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$269,282
Total Redeem
$278
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
706
total markets
Trades
1222B / 1007S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~223d
Periods
#2Today
$-9
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $0
Month
$-40
Vol: $0
All Time
$656
Vol: $269,282
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
45%
317W / 380L events
Realized PnL
$656
Win Rate
45%
317W / 380L
Profit Factor
1.2x
Avg Win
$37
Avg Loss
$-26
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,095 (4.718761912022566% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$1,525
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$997
Will King Charles say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the joint meeting of Congress?$572
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$372
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$267
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?$228
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?$226
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?$213
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$191
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?$168
Top Losers
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-556
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-400
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-226
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$-172
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?$-162
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$-158
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$-134
Will Trump say "Beautiful" or "Wonderful" 12+ times during WHCA Dinner events?$-133
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$-131
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$-128
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.066
Sortino
0.138
HHI
102
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.056
Kelly %
9.5%
Half-Kelly
4.7%
Top-1 market
6.7%
Top-5 markets
15.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
5.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.8
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 706s — normal for humanCV 1.24 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal1.9 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 13:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.35
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)33.3%
Mid (20-55c)39%
High (>55c)27.7%
Sessions
#126/14/2026, 10:16:40 PM7 trades$9800 min
4/10/2026, 10:04:05 AM6 trades$9150 min
4/9/2026, 7:25:41 PM4 trades$8400 min
4/28/2026, 8:23:42 PM6 trades$6830 min
4/7/2026, 9:06:37 PM16 trades$6421 min
5/23/2026, 5:58:45 PM7 trades$5776 min
4/7/2026, 10:57:41 PM2 trades$5050 min
4/14/2026, 10:24:39 AM4 trades$4870 min
5/11/2026, 1:00:23 PM2 trades$4840 min
5/14/2026, 12:00:31 PM9 trades$4811 min
4/25/2026, 4:38:24 PM8 trades$4351 min
4/17/2026, 1:09:56 PM5 trades$4320 min
4/15/2026, 2:20:04 AM2 trades$4000 min
4/9/2026, 11:45:05 AM11 trades$3951 min
4/16/2026, 2:27:02 PM5 trades$3830 min
2/10/2026, 12:53:09 PM9 trades$3776 min
4/26/2026, 1:45:10 AM6 trades$3750 min
4/21/2026, 7:44:42 PM8 trades$3721 min
4/28/2026, 6:11:00 PM12 trades$3671 min
4/24/2026, 2:49:28 AM7 trades$3590 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-14
10-29
12-08
01-16
02-24
04-06
06-19
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 19 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.35/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L33.3 / M39 / H27.7