@Doughty

#341,60124

0x805935a61425a9a658a9969eb39ef1d98062f681

~14d· 21 markets · 97 tradesVol: $28,6952026-08-05 17:29:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (9/18)10/20
0.51x (win $341 / loss $668)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.5420/15
Sortino -5.9250/10
$-0.0492 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 722 (18 markets)8.9/10
6/12 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 200% of peak ($655 / $328)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+40
Lottery Player
49% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#1,392,552$-23Vol: $25,308
⚽ SPORTS#150,013$63Vol: $3,387

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$40
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$28,695
Total Redeem
$445
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
21
total markets
Trades
61B / 36S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

Periods

#2
Week
$2
Vol: $3,680
Month
$2
Vol: $3,680
All Time
$40
Vol: $28,695

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
9W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$40
Win Rate
50%
9W / 9L
Profit Factor
0.51x
Avg Win
$38
Avg Loss
$-74

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $172 (4.350025290844714% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (-1.5)$69
Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-2.5)$59
Spread: Trabzonspor (-2.5)$45
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$40
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?$39
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$38
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$31
Spread: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-2.5)$17
Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30$5

Top Losers

US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?$-143
Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?$-124
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-108
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?$-107
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by July 31?$-88
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026?$-60
Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)$-25
Spread: Coritiba FBC (-2.5)$-7
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?$-6

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.278
Sortino
-0.431
HHI
710
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.059
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.7%
Top-5 markets
50%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
50%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.44
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
40
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 862s — normal for humanCV 1.44 — diverse sizes (human-like)49% night trades — never sleeps9/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal67% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.11
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)49.2%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)50.8%

Sessions

#12
8/3/2026, 6:47:30 AM3 trades$9100 min
7/25/2026, 2:24:51 AM4 trades$9010 min
7/17/2026, 3:11:39 AM3 trades$8900 min
7/25/2026, 5:36:28 AM5 trades$8720 min
7/17/2026, 6:37:16 AM3 trades$8460 min
7/1/2026, 7:22:01 AM4 trades$8001 min
7/1/2026, 3:26:26 AM4 trades$7900 min
4/13/2026, 5:39:47 AM4 trades$7291 min
4/12/2026, 5:31:01 AM4 trades$6640 min
5/6/2026, 9:53:50 AM2 trades$4900 min
5/8/2026, 7:31:17 AM2 trades$4900 min
5/8/2026, 6:04:48 AM2 trades$4700 min
5/8/2026, 6:52:09 AM1 trades$4550 min
4/27/2026, 8:09:48 AM2 trades$4460 min
4/13/2026, 4:47:01 AM3 trades$4400 min
5/7/2026, 3:09:56 AM2 trades$4300 min
5/7/2026, 5:13:06 AM2 trades$4290 min
4/27/2026, 6:15:22 AM2 trades$4280 min
4/27/2026, 6:46:26 AM1 trades$4230 min
5/7/2026, 4:58:44 AM1 trades$4200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-11
04-14
05-06
05-08
06-17
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 78 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.11/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L49.2 / M0 / H50.8