@0x806e…164f
#2,486,725520x806eb39a397cd3a17dae90ab123dea5099fe164f
~45d· 57 markets · 799 tradesVol: $12,7842026-08-04 18:57:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
52
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
41% (12/29)5.7/20
1.58x (win $152 / loss $96)9.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.64015/15
Sortino 5.38210/10
$+0.0441 per $1 invested2.2/10
HHI 1466 (29 markets)5.2/10
8/19 profitable days (42%)3/10
Max DD 63% of peak ($78 / $124)1.4/10
Badges
1🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
5🏛️ POLITICS#1,478,205$-58Vol: $6,771
🌤️ WEATHER#235,710$-7Vol: $5,183
📈 ECONOMICS#617,707$-16Vol: $702
💰 FINANCE#478,642$-1Vol: $127
💻 TECH#124,942$0Vol: $1
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-81
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,784
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
57
total markets
Trades
376B / 423S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~45d
Periods
#2Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-3
Vol: $0
All Time
$-81
Vol: $12,784
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
39%
11W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$-81
Win Rate
39%
11W / 17L
Profit Factor
1.58x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-8
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $152 (1.8621113432468965% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$142
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$9
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$0
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$0
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$0
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?$0
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?$0
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$0
Iran coup attempt by June 30?$0
Top Losers
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$-12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$-10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$-10
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$-5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$-5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-4
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-4
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.084
Sortino
0.260
HHI
84
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.159
Kelly %
14.4%
Half-Kelly
7.2%
Top-1 market
5.4%
Top-5 markets
18.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
10.9
Active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.22
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.9
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 260s — normal for humanCV 1.22 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active0.8 markets/day — normal47% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
11.17
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)23.1%
Mid (20-55c)1.6%
High (>55c)75.3%
Sessions
#126/16/2026, 1:15:25 AM14 trades$6501 min
6/16/2026, 7:10:29 PM6 trades$5630 min
6/16/2026, 7:00:35 PM8 trades$5371 min
6/16/2026, 7:55:26 PM2 trades$5080 min
7/1/2026, 9:01:08 PM23 trades$50210 min
6/22/2026, 1:55:22 PM12 trades$3332 min
7/2/2026, 7:18:28 PM16 trades$2842 min
6/17/2026, 4:55:31 AM6 trades$2821 min
6/15/2026, 9:38:28 PM54 trades$2655 min
7/3/2026, 1:13:28 AM6 trades$2461 min
7/3/2026, 6:48:58 AM5 trades$2010 min
7/3/2026, 7:00:29 AM2 trades$1920 min
7/9/2026, 12:50:05 PM4 trades$1810 min
6/22/2026, 2:05:44 PM17 trades$1214 min
7/28/2026, 6:17:57 AM22 trades$1163 min
7/17/2026, 12:27:24 PM6 trades$1130 min
6/18/2026, 6:55:44 PM9 trades$1000 min
6/23/2026, 7:31:02 PM6 trades$965 min
7/23/2026, 1:13:24 PM8 trades$951 min
6/14/2026, 8:55:34 PM4 trades$860 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-26
06-09
06-16
06-22
07-09
07-17
07-28
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 32 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.17/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L23.1 / M1.6 / H75.3