@just-hanging-around

#2,929,02228

0x809205fb1c91f746b9703ca412c4fdd0435db8a2

~231d· 1505 markets · 45989 tradesVol: $592,4782026-08-05 00:38:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (739/1414)11.1/20
0.84x (win $9,427 / loss $11,189)0.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.5260/15
Sortino -1.6870/10
$-0.0153 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 41 (1414 markets)10/10
92/170 profitable days (54%)6/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($2,383 / $0)0/10

Badges

5
Lottery Player
41% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 27.9 entries/market
Whale
$115,371 invested
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#18,626$942Vol: $337,665
₿ CRYPTO#1,655,026$-2,395Vol: $160,629
📈 ECONOMICS#6,721$283Vol: $45,952
🎭 CULTURE#785,802$-119Vol: $26,224
💰 FINANCE#9,177$325Vol: $9,998
💻 TECH#7,403$67Vol: $3,701
📢 MENTIONS#159,938$-67Vol: $3,605
⚽ SPORTS#1,699,766$-122Vol: $3,215
🌤️ WEATHER#220,830$-4Vol: $15

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,016
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$592,478
Total Redeem
$1,488
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1505
total markets
Trades
29918B / 16071S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~231d

Periods

#2
Today
$-36
Vol: $758
Week
$-38
Vol: $1,103
Month
$-56
Vol: $1,309
All Time
$-1,016
Vol: $592,478

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
52%
739W / 675L events
Realized PnL
$-1,016
Win Rate
52%
739W / 675L
Profit Factor
0.84x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-17

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $818 (0.8055131676101402% of PnL)

Top Winners

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$330
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$257
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$232
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?$170
Solana Up or Down - December 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$169
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$138
Will the US strike Somalia next?$138
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$129
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?$118
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$118

Top Losers

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-301
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?$-273
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$-200
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$-165
Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?$-155
Kristi Noem out by March 31?$-135
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$-134
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$-134
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?$-120
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$-118

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.080
Sortino
-0.065
HHI
43
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.015
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.3%
Top-5 markets
8.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
93.5
Very active
Markets / Day
3.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
14s
between trades
Avg Gap
15.3m
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.28
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
28 min
Avg Trades / Session
339.1

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 14s — suspiciously fastCV 4.28 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock93 trades/day — mass trading3.1 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
27.85
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)40.9%
Mid (20-55c)27.1%
High (>55c)32%

Sessions

#12
12/17/2025, 1:15:23 AM7185 trades$19,210412 min
12/17/2025, 12:03:50 PM1639 trades$6,28378 min
12/17/2025, 10:11:35 AM1770 trades$5,850106 min
12/16/2025, 11:07:13 PM2468 trades$5,20498 min
12/17/2025, 2:24:52 PM761 trades$4,44827 min
12/17/2025, 8:39:04 AM475 trades$1,50829 min
4/15/2026, 11:14:50 AM16 trades$1,49912 min
6/10/2026, 10:30:16 PM20 trades$1,3412 min
4/15/2026, 6:55:46 AM68 trades$1,0828 min
5/7/2026, 8:27:20 PM26 trades$9818 min
2/1/2026, 3:14:28 PM272 trades$97937 min
2/4/2026, 7:48:33 PM54 trades$92934 min
6/27/2026, 7:52:02 PM125 trades$90816 min
1/31/2026, 5:29:50 PM330 trades$85469 min
7/13/2026, 8:02:22 PM32 trades$85012 min
1/26/2026, 8:54:07 PM71 trades$74612 min
1/31/2026, 7:06:52 PM350 trades$73947 min
2/28/2026, 7:39:29 PM51 trades$73621 min
5/19/2026, 12:33:11 PM18 trades$6560 min
7/6/2026, 4:52:40 PM9 trades$6302 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-16
01-14
02-11
03-11
04-15
06-01
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 27.85/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L40.9 / M27.1 / H32