@0x80C65D…4886

#3,040,21312

0x80c65de4e3eb99d4d7f540b26cc45cd90b0be3c1

~148d· 238 markets · 536 tradesVol: $534,3792026-08-04 20:39:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

24% (56/232)0/20
0.81x (win $18,358 / loss $22,614)0.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0270/15
Sortino -1.4680/10
$-0.0603 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 210 (232 markets)10/10
38/100 profitable days (38%)2/10
Max DD 175% of peak ($9,930 / $5,675)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
53% entries < $0.20
Whale
$70,535 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
⚽ SPORTS#1,850,211$-1,785Vol: $197,456
🏛️ POLITICS#8,642$3,141Vol: $148,198
₿ CRYPTO#1,671,282$-7,590Vol: $93,924
📈 ECONOMICS#2,002$1,951Vol: $65,925
🎭 CULTURE#7,867$503Vol: $16,741
💰 FINANCE#655,124$-1,335Vol: $4,526
💻 TECH#2,338$468Vol: $3,800

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,613
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$534,379
Total Redeem
$517
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
238
total markets
Trades
311B / 225S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~148d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Month
$3
Vol: $0
All Time
$-4,613
Vol: $534,379

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
24%
56W / 176L events
Realized PnL
$-4,613
Win Rate
24%
56W / 176L
Profit Factor
0.81x
Avg Win
$328
Avg Loss
$-147

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,100 (1.1057927245686188% of PnL)

Top Winners

Who will win white women?$2,211
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$1,488
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$1,401
Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?$909
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$710
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$709
France loses visa-free access to any African nation in 2024?$708
Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?$609
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$595
Will the next Pope be a dark horse candidate?$567

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$-4,052
Will Ethereum hit $3,750 by January 31, 2025?$-2,535
Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $290b on April 30?$-1,135
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-896
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$-800
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$-800
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?$-750
Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?$-660
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$-620
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$-600

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.053
Sortino
-0.067
HHI
238
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.062
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.1%
Top-5 markets
26.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 66s — normal for humanCV 2.04 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal13% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.56
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)52.7%
Mid (20-55c)22.8%
High (>55c)24.4%

Sessions

#12
11/11/2024, 9:24:39 PM1 trades$5,0000 min
11/5/2024, 7:58:25 PM3 trades$3,6511 min
2/23/2026, 5:26:20 AM4 trades$3,1525 min
9/8/2024, 12:36:59 PM2 trades$3,0004 min
12/17/2024, 3:35:43 PM1 trades$2,3000 min
1/6/2025, 11:38:31 PM2 trades$2,2901 min
10/31/2024, 10:14:28 AM2 trades$2,1373 min
11/5/2024, 3:10:09 PM1 trades$2,0000 min
5/26/2026, 4:03:18 PM6 trades$1,9322 min
1/24/2025, 5:13:09 AM5 trades$1,8003 min
6/18/2026, 12:39:31 PM18 trades$1,7543 min
11/5/2024, 3:15:23 PM7 trades$1,7327 min
1/7/2025, 3:51:25 AM1 trades$1,6000 min
10/19/2024, 9:26:50 PM1 trades$1,5000 min
10/22/2024, 5:03:58 PM1 trades$1,5000 min
10/29/2024, 12:47:40 PM1 trades$1,5000 min
1/27/2026, 7:45:29 AM1 trades$1,4440 min
8/21/2024, 6:13:43 PM1 trades$1,4000 min
4/12/2026, 5:15:33 PM6 trades$1,3320 min
6/18/2025, 12:43:44 PM1 trades$1,2400 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-27
12-05
03-06
10-14
01-13
03-03
06-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 605 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.56/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L52.7 / M22.8 / H24.4