@HaileyWelch
#226730x80cd8310aa624521e9e1b2b53b568cafb0ef0273
~446d· 2948 markets · 95647 tradesVol: $62,589,1202026-08-04 16:20:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
73
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
59% (1746/2948)14.6/20
1.24x (win $4,190,759 / loss $3,378,931)5.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.17115/15
Sortino 1.85210/10
$+0.0282 per $1 invested1.4/10
HHI 31 (2948 markets)10/10
260/426 profitable days (61%)7.8/10
Max DD 28% of peak ($304,546 / $1,104,873)8.5/10
Badges
11Profitable
PnL $+837,830
Contrarian
55% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
7% sells
DCA Master
Avg 32.4 entries/market
Whale
$28,772,774 invested
Consistent
260/426 profitable days
High Roller
$58,720/day
Cool Head
Max DD 28%
Win Streak
21 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
72% maker orders
Categories
2₿ CRYPTO#29$615,288Vol: $60,027,202
⚽ SPORTS#437$222,542Vol: $2,561,918
Overview
#1Net PnL
$837,831
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$62,589,120
Total Redeem
$45,392
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2948
total markets
Trades
89184B / 6463S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~446d
Periods
#2Today
$369
Vol: $95
Week
$632
Vol: $14,699
Month
$855
Vol: $15,628
All Time
$837,831
Vol: $62,589,120
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
59%
1746W / 1201L events
Realized PnL
$837,830
Win Rate
59%
1746W / 1201L
Profit Factor
1.24x
Avg Win
$2,400
Avg Loss
$-2,813
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $607,114 (0.7246265839914663% of PnL)
Top Winners
Thunder vs. Pacers$330,000
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102K on June 6?$147,900
Thunder vs. Timberwolves$129,213
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 12?$118,899
Pacers vs. Thunder$105,152
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 27?$100,701
Solana Up or Down on May 11?$84,369
Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 18?$66,224
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 10?$55,189
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20?$49,938
Top Losers
Spread: Rams (-3.5)$-189,246
Thunder vs. Pacers$-139,830
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on July 9?$-118,670
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 5?$-112,486
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 8?$-91,821
Bitcoin above $105,000 on June 6?$-81,940
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $105K and $107K on July 9?$-70,991
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $103K and $105K on July 9?$-64,847
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $109K on July 9?$-64,062
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 23?$-38,432
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.061
Sortino
0.065
HHI
32
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.028
Kelly %
9.6%
Half-Kelly
4.8%
Top-1 market
2.4%
Top-5 markets
8.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
195.2
Very active
Markets / Day
6.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
8.4m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.01
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
43 min
Avg Trades / Session
141.7
Bot Detection
#655
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 68s — normal for humanCV 5.01 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock195 trades/day — automation6.0 markets/day — normal72% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
32.44
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)19.7%
Mid (20-55c)35.4%
High (>55c)44.9%
Sessions
#126/13/2025, 7:21:17 PM125 trades$670,0268 min
6/8/2025, 9:23:23 PM92 trades$410,00030 min
6/6/2025, 2:01:12 AM145 trades$381,922108 min
7/1/2025, 9:44:41 PM511 trades$321,01489 min
8/14/2025, 12:15:50 PM598 trades$288,16987 min
8/22/2025, 2:18:34 PM517 trades$194,356121 min
1/18/2026, 5:36:06 PM2 trades$189,2460 min
8/22/2025, 2:03:56 PM296 trades$178,0617 min
7/1/2025, 2:29:43 PM191 trades$164,07633 min
10/10/2025, 7:44:40 PM169 trades$141,02316 min
6/11/2025, 7:58:15 PM2 trades$139,8300 min
4/9/2025, 5:22:01 PM87 trades$133,14852 min
7/1/2025, 3:52:17 PM151 trades$131,19215 min
5/26/2025, 3:34:59 PM2 trades$125,7892 min
5/20/2025, 1:31:27 PM55 trades$121,7759 min
6/20/2025, 11:36:36 AM5 trades$121,6349 min
7/18/2025, 1:52:16 PM95 trades$119,66976 min
8/19/2025, 12:21:18 PM231 trades$115,247109 min
6/6/2025, 5:50:36 AM111 trades$114,28032 min
8/13/2025, 1:50:21 PM160 trades$108,45543 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-03
06-13
08-24
11-04
01-14
03-30
08-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 9 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
6.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 32.44/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.7 / M35.4 / H44.9