@chamillion

#311,79292

0x80ce38618465b6f4027a16e38d4215e891703809

~19d· 36 markets · 97 tradesVol: $3,410 @chamillion__2026-08-04 23:36:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

92
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

78% (28/36)20/20
4.24x (win $164 / loss $39)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 9.41815/15
Sortino 17.42310/10
$+0.0875 per $1 invested4.4/10
HHI 832 (36 markets)8.3/10
12/16 profitable days (75%)10/10
Max DD 22% of peak ($34 / $160)9.7/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 78%
Profitable
PnL $+51
Consistent
12/16 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 22%
Win Streak
9 wins in a row

Categories

6
💰 FINANCE#59,318$9Vol: $1,922
🏛️ POLITICS#1,306,650$-12Vol: $1,126
💻 TECH#13,081$20Vol: $190
⚽ SPORTS#199,094$31Vol: $130
🌤️ WEATHER#24,163$9Vol: $31
₿ CRYPTO#1,035,577$-5Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$51
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,410
Total Redeem
$30
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
36
total markets
Trades
55B / 42S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

Periods

#2
Today
$-18
Vol: $28
Week
$-18
Vol: $28
Month
$-14
Vol: $28
All Time
$51
Vol: $3,410

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
80%
28W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$51
Win Rate
80%
28W / 7L
Profit Factor
4.24x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-13

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $76 (1.4686224985428407% of PnL)

Top Winners

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?$36
Will there be 5+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$29
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$11
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$10
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$10
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?$8
Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?$6
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $142 in May?$6
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$6
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $39B by July 31?$6

Top Losers

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?$-35
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.477
Sortino
inf
HHI
981
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.073
Kelly %
36.1%
Half-Kelly
18.1%
Top-1 market
17.1%
Top-5 markets
62.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
37.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.14
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
40
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2232s — normal for humanCV 1.13 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern11/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal52% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.22
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.3%
Mid (20-55c)5.5%
High (>55c)87.3%

Sessions

#12
5/20/2026, 9:30:49 AM4 trades$2282 min
7/13/2026, 6:35:46 PM7 trades$2152 min
5/21/2026, 8:10:45 AM3 trades$1960 min
7/13/2026, 5:09:35 PM2 trades$1800 min
7/13/2026, 7:33:26 AM5 trades$1291 min
4/22/2026, 3:47:50 PM5 trades$1152 min
4/11/2026, 9:50:17 AM2 trades$1000 min
7/13/2026, 12:26:04 PM3 trades$690 min
6/27/2026, 8:16:58 AM2 trades$650 min
4/22/2026, 3:42:44 PM2 trades$650 min
6/26/2026, 8:04:13 AM4 trades$591 min
5/20/2026, 2:28:49 PM2 trades$560 min
6/11/2026, 10:55:27 AM4 trades$552 min
7/24/2026, 8:05:24 AM3 trades$430 min
7/10/2026, 4:59:01 PM1 trades$420 min
6/8/2026, 7:44:46 AM2 trades$390 min
4/18/2026, 6:43:10 PM2 trades$300 min
7/8/2026, 4:08:26 PM2 trades$300 min
4/30/2026, 9:32:32 AM2 trades$300 min
7/28/2026, 7:20:37 AM8 trades$250 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-11
04-23
05-05
05-21
06-11
06-27
07-10
07-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.22/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.3 / M5.5 / H87.3