@0x8137Bf…3464

#2,801,3340

0x8137bf1fdea6896f88805c71a7d00347dbfd34f1

~59d· 78 markets · 462 tradesVol: $46,5942026-08-05 00:39:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

26% (15/57)0/20
0.11x (win $359 / loss $3,170)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.1230/15
Sortino -4.9710/10
$-1.0309 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3233 (57 markets)0/10
9/31 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($2,811 / $0)0/10

Categories

7
🎭 CULTURE#773,747$-77Vol: $30,747
🏛️ POLITICS#1,566,393$-216Vol: $14,560
⚽ SPORTS#1,601,304$-53Vol: $593
🌤️ WEATHER#237,531$-7Vol: $242
₿ CRYPTO#242,746$9Vol: $236
💰 FINANCE#48,629$13Vol: $132
📈 ECONOMICS#609,178$-13Vol: $83

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-344
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$46,594
Total Redeem
$12
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
78
total markets
Trades
156B / 306S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~59d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-14
Vol: $0
Month
$-16
Vol: $332
All Time
$-344
Vol: $46,594

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
26%
15W / 42L events
Realized PnL
$-344
Win Rate
26%
15W / 42L
Profit Factor
0.11x
Avg Win
$24
Avg Loss
$-102

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $310 (0.9007269555103228% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$130
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$116
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$64
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$23
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$18
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$2
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?$1
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$1
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?$1

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-1,781
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?$-319
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?$-257
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?$-131
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$-90
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$-75
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?$-55
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$-48
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$-41
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$-40

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.264
Sortino
-0.203
HHI
2384
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.810
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
44.6%
Top-5 markets
77%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.6h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.92
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.2

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 731s — normal for humanCV 1.92 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.93
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.9%
Mid (20-55c)22.4%
High (>55c)50.6%

Sessions

#12
5/16/2026, 11:04:48 PM6 trades$20,0001 min
5/16/2026, 10:04:11 PM38 trades$1,78010 min
6/30/2026, 9:46:56 PM14 trades$4976 min
5/18/2026, 7:16:34 PM7 trades$4860 min
5/15/2026, 2:06:06 AM2 trades$2990 min
4/9/2026, 12:30:23 AM15 trades$2583 min
6/8/2026, 1:53:18 AM4 trades$2550 min
6/14/2026, 6:54:46 PM14 trades$2344 min
5/26/2026, 11:00:38 PM13 trades$2304 min
6/15/2026, 6:41:01 AM4 trades$2170 min
6/10/2026, 10:15:07 PM2 trades$2080 min
5/14/2026, 4:47:21 PM2 trades$2000 min
6/9/2026, 9:31:16 PM6 trades$1651 min
6/11/2026, 5:33:24 PM20 trades$1640 min
6/16/2026, 7:40:41 PM7 trades$1600 min
5/24/2026, 12:21:08 AM4 trades$1541 min
5/16/2026, 10:50:08 PM2 trades$1490 min
7/25/2026, 11:58:30 PM6 trades$1451 min
6/9/2026, 7:10:51 PM3 trades$1340 min
7/26/2026, 7:35:55 PM4 trades$1321 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-05
03-15
04-26
05-26
06-14
07-08
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
66.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.93/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L26.9 / M22.4 / H50.6