@Hastings1
#2,269,312530x813b0fe4886d4d618c37107c41113b12bff36ab7
~12d· 21 markets · 71 tradesVol: $20,5792026-08-04 22:11:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
53
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
43% (6/14)6.4/20
1.46x (win $378 / loss $259)8.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.14815/15
Sortino 5.14410/10
$+0.0133 per $1 invested0.7/10
HHI 1200 (14 markets)6.5/10
5/9 profitable days (56%)6.4/10
Max DD 216% of peak ($259 / $120)0/10
Categories
2🏛️ POLITICS#137,892$18Vol: $16,030
⚽ SPORTS#1,657,435$-86Vol: $3,469
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-38
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,579
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
21
total markets
Trades
48B / 23S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
43%
6W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$-38
Win Rate
43%
6W / 8L
Profit Factor
1.46x
Avg Win
$63
Avg Loss
$-37
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $246 (6.5658666666666665% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Trump attend NATO Summit?$96
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?$75
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?$75
Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?$71
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?$60
Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)$1
Top Losers
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?$-67
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$-57
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026?$-48
Spread: Ismaily SC (-1.5)$-41
Spread: Levante UD (-2.5)$-21
Spread: Elche CF (-2.5)$-20
Spread: Ghana (-1.5)$-5
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.155
Sortino
0.319
HHI
359
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.029
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.5%
Top-5 markets
41.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
27.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
76%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
35
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
HIGH
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1653s — normal for humanCV 1.04 — diverse sizes (human-like)76% night trades — never sleeps9/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal68% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 5:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.57
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)29.2%
Mid (20-55c)4.2%
High (>55c)66.7%
Sessions
#125/7/2026, 5:58:17 AM6 trades$1,0916 min
5/3/2026, 4:54:52 AM6 trades$1,0905 min
5/2/2026, 5:38:24 AM6 trades$1,0151 min
6/12/2026, 2:59:31 AM2 trades$5000 min
6/12/2026, 6:05:00 AM2 trades$5000 min
7/8/2026, 6:36:56 AM2 trades$4780 min
6/12/2026, 4:08:28 AM3 trades$4762 min
7/25/2026, 1:37:45 AM2 trades$4600 min
7/25/2026, 3:07:37 AM3 trades$4530 min
7/8/2026, 7:04:29 AM1 trades$4520 min
7/25/2026, 5:41:07 AM1 trades$4370 min
7/12/2026, 2:04:02 AM2 trades$4350 min
7/12/2026, 3:19:40 AM2 trades$4350 min
7/25/2026, 2:22:55 AM1 trades$4280 min
7/12/2026, 2:36:32 AM1 trades$4160 min
7/12/2026, 5:08:37 AM1 trades$4160 min
6/24/2026, 3:06:43 AM2 trades$3900 min
6/24/2026, 1:56:05 AM2 trades$3850 min
6/23/2026, 3:26:20 AM2 trades$3840 min
6/23/2026, 5:03:58 AM2 trades$3800 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-27
03-30
05-02
05-03
05-07
06-12
06-23
06-24
07-25
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 41 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.57/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L29.2 / M4.2 / H66.7