@0x8165…561c

#175,53667

0x81653f25be375d2a7d13f6db0a6662508ea4561c

~8d· 26 markets · 164 tradesVol: $10,2422026-08-05 03:16:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

67
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

12% (3/26)0/20
5.10x (win $601 / loss $118)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 8.89915/15
Sortino 99.94110/10
$+0.9247 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1528 (26 markets)4.9/10
3/8 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 6% of peak ($32 / $515)10/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+197
Lottery Player
64% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 6%

Categories

4
🌤️ WEATHER#4,447$233Vol: $9,404
📈 ECONOMICS#554,525$-4Vol: $519
⚽ SPORTS#1,362,681$-11Vol: $213
₿ CRYPTO#1,278,680$-22Vol: $105

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$197
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,242
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
26
total markets
Trades
36B / 128S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~8d

Periods

#2
Week
$-1
Vol: $585
Month
$-5
Vol: $1,478
All Time
$197
Vol: $10,242

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
12%
3W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$197
Win Rate
12%
3W / 23L
Profit Factor
5.1x
Avg Win
$200
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $601 (3.0557815519170144% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 7?$404
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 9?$165
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$32

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on July 9?$-12
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 14?$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$-10
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 10?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 9?$-8
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 7?$-7
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on July 9?$-7
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 10?$-6
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 10?$-5
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 10?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.436
Sortino
8.130
HHI
3309
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.925
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
46.9%
Top-5 markets
86.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.09
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
20
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.2

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 273s — normal for humanCV 3.09 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern13/24 hours — normal schedule10 trades/day — normal1.5 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.31
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)63.9%
Mid (20-55c)22.2%
High (>55c)13.9%

Sessions

#12
7/8/2026, 10:27:13 PM15 trades$2,4163 min
7/6/2026, 5:14:56 PM20 trades$7811 min
7/7/2026, 8:40:56 PM23 trades$4500 min
7/7/2026, 8:45:38 AM9 trades$4470 min
7/15/2026, 2:11:20 AM9 trades$3301 min
7/9/2026, 9:09:08 AM2 trades$3290 min
7/7/2026, 10:40:01 AM18 trades$2521 min
7/8/2026, 10:19:11 PM4 trades$2040 min
7/7/2026, 2:03:58 PM16 trades$1841 min
7/9/2026, 10:41:25 AM14 trades$961 min
7/9/2026, 8:58:22 PM6 trades$591 min
7/8/2026, 10:13:29 PM4 trades$531 min
6/29/2026, 7:03:32 PM2 trades$420 min
7/7/2026, 4:05:43 AM6 trades$321 min
6/29/2026, 6:01:04 PM2 trades$210 min
7/13/2026, 2:35:56 PM3 trades$140 min
7/14/2026, 5:55:08 PM4 trades$115 min
7/15/2026, 7:30:19 PM2 trades$50 min
7/15/2026, 1:06:22 AM2 trades$50 min
7/13/2026, 3:21:22 PM3 trades$40 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-29
07-06
07-07
07-08
07-09
07-13
07-14
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 6 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
80.8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
78% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.31/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L63.9 / M22.2 / H13.9