@trojashka

#3,051,18814

0x818e5f42766e3668eda1e53692c58287f47da1e3

~44d· 87 markets · 438 tradesVol: $51,6122026-08-04 23:37:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (40/86)8.3/20
0.19x (win $3,489 / loss $18,120)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.2240/15
Sortino -4.1440/10
$-0.8860 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2520 (86 markets)0/10
16/30 profitable days (53%)5.8/10
Max DD 944% of peak ($16,448 / $1,743)0/10

Badges

2
DCA Master
Avg 7.2 entries/market
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,636,332$-5,345Vol: $28,727
⚽ SPORTS#105,769$133Vol: $11,923
₿ CRYPTO#1,636,930$-1,535Vol: $5,936
💰 FINANCE#51,645$12Vol: $2,943
📈 ECONOMICS#652,934$-65Vol: $1,460
💻 TECH#240,692$-33Vol: $623

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-6,832
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$51,612
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
87
total markets
Trades
241B / 197S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~44d

Periods

#2
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-6,832
Vol: $51,612

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
40W / 46L events
Realized PnL
$-6,832
Win Rate
47%
40W / 46L
Profit Factor
0.19x
Avg Win
$87
Avg Loss
$-549

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,303 (0.33708519706798434% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1,338
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$526
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$440
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$122
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?$115
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$108
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$91
Will France win on 2026-07-04?$57
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$43
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$41

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-11,072
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-5,417
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-372
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$-300
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?$-122
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?$-50
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)$-49
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-48
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexei Popyrin vs Jakub Mensik$-42
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$-41

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.217
Sortino
-0.144
HHI
6215
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.476
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
58.5%
Top-5 markets
154.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.18
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.7

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 240s — normal for humanCV 3.18 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity6 trades/day — normal1.2 markets/day — normal55% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.23
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)24.5%
Mid (20-55c)17.4%
High (>55c)58.1%

Sessions

#12
6/16/2026, 9:32:19 PM11 trades$3,3949 min
6/11/2026, 9:19:16 PM5 trades$3,0332 min
6/17/2026, 7:04:38 AM2 trades$2,5000 min
6/11/2026, 9:13:25 PM3 trades$2,0460 min
5/31/2026, 2:44:30 PM1 trades$1,8490 min
6/16/2026, 10:28:37 PM2 trades$1,6420 min
5/29/2026, 3:54:30 PM8 trades$1,3636 min
6/14/2026, 11:00:13 PM4 trades$1,2410 min
5/31/2026, 4:27:05 PM3 trades$1,0880 min
6/13/2026, 5:41:24 PM6 trades$9954 min
6/9/2026, 9:41:16 AM16 trades$8004 min
6/12/2026, 9:39:43 AM2 trades$6021 min
5/27/2026, 12:57:41 AM2 trades$5580 min
6/14/2026, 9:48:00 PM6 trades$5225 min
6/1/2026, 12:17:01 PM2 trades$4990 min
6/13/2026, 9:34:30 AM5 trades$4855 min
6/6/2026, 8:58:07 PM15 trades$4577 min
5/31/2026, 4:03:01 PM8 trades$4570 min
6/6/2026, 3:16:12 PM1 trades$3370 min
6/4/2026, 12:05:06 PM5 trades$3234 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-02
05-13
05-29
06-06
06-13
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.23/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L24.5 / M17.4 / H58.1