@windyman

#300,78735

0x818f9cab40767d21fb1750867904f3474dfa139b

~19d· 344 markets · 791 tradesVol: $14,3212026-08-04 21:49:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

93% (319/344)20/20
0.86x (win $138 / loss $161)0.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0620/15
Sortino -1.2110/10
$-0.0031 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1548 (344 markets)4.8/10
15/19 profitable days (79%)10/10
Max DD 224% of peak ($68 / $31)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 93%
Profitable
PnL $+57
Consistent
15/19 profitable days
Win Streak
55 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🌤️ WEATHER#7,224$96Vol: $13,212
🏛️ POLITICS#323,254$1Vol: $461
SPORTS#1,397,648$-13Vol: $322
📈 ECONOMICS#530,672$-2Vol: $97
🎭 CULTURE#639,212$-5Vol: $42
💰 FINANCE#155,446$1Vol: $26

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$57
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,321
Total Redeem
$10
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
344
total markets
Trades
689B / 102S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$57
Vol: $14,321

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
93%
319W / 25L events
Realized PnL
$57
Win Rate
93%
319W / 25L
Profit Factor
0.86x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-12

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $44 (0.7751896947238399% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 84°F or higher on April 1?$22
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 212.5$14
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on April 2?$8
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on April 2?$5
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on April 2?$4
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on March 27?$3
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 59°F or below on April 2?$3
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 24?$3
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on March 24?$3
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on March 28?$2

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C or higher on March 21?$-39
Will G2 Esports win First Stand 2026?$-21
Spread: Celtics (-16.5)$-20
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$-10
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 200.5$-10
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5$-10
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on March 21?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 1?$-8
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on April 1?$-8

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.054
Sortino
-0.043
HHI
64
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.4%
Top-5 markets
8.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
3.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
27.4m
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.01
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 202s — normal for humanCV 1.01 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal3.0 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.3
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.2%
Mid (20-55c)0.7%
High (>55c)96.1%

Sessions

#12
4/2/2026, 8:07:47 PM36 trades$4,9200 min
3/19/2026, 9:30:35 PM14 trades$2716 min
3/19/2026, 7:04:55 PM13 trades$2028 min
3/24/2026, 8:52:53 PM6 trades$2002 min
3/21/2026, 8:31:43 PM14 trades$19114 min
3/27/2026, 8:02:03 AM10 trades$1839 min
3/29/2026, 8:02:16 AM5 trades$1488 min
3/24/2026, 2:28:43 PM4 trades$1414 min
4/25/2026, 9:46:40 PM11 trades$1236 min
3/19/2026, 3:05:13 AM32 trades$1237 min
3/19/2026, 10:11:13 PM6 trades$1200 min
3/22/2026, 8:55:47 PM12 trades$11911 min
3/17/2026, 7:01:19 AM1 trades$1000 min
3/17/2026, 5:36:57 AM1 trades$1000 min
3/22/2026, 8:09:39 AM9 trades$977 min
3/23/2026, 8:32:45 AM5 trades$889 min
3/25/2026, 7:44:19 AM4 trades$839 min
3/24/2026, 9:17:51 PM5 trades$776 min
3/27/2026, 8:50:47 AM22 trades$731 min
3/24/2026, 8:10:53 AM3 trades$684 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-17
03-20
03-23
03-27
03-30
04-27
07-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
84% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
12.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.3/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.2 / M0.7 / H96.1