@jaydonc

#2,334,78331

0x81e11e48ca05eb0a251042127d8e552a6ea9386d

~46d· 88 markets · 94 tradesVol: $18,4022026-08-04 21:45:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

31
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

98% (86/88)20/20
0.59x (win $66 / loss $111)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.5210/15
Sortino -1.5530/10
$-0.0025 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2251 (88 markets)1.2/10
43/45 profitable days (96%)10/10
Max DD 255% of peak ($93 / $36)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 98%
Diamond Hands
5% sells
Consistent
43/45 profitable days
Win Streak
58 wins in a row

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,398,023$-24Vol: $7,712
CRYPTO#147,342$35Vol: $7,543
🎭 CULTURE#771,587$-70Vol: $1,727
📈 ECONOMICS#122,950$1Vol: $742
💰 FINANCE#54,362$11Vol: $468

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-47
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$18,402
Total Redeem
$319
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
88
total markets
Trades
89B / 5S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~46d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-47
Vol: $18,402

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
98%
86W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$-46
Win Rate
98%
86W / 2L
Profit Factor
0.59x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-56

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $25 (0.5345235534523554% of PnL)

Top Winners

zkSync airdrop by June 30?$9
Will ETH hit $4k by Friday?$8
Will Trump issue an executive order on March 8?$8
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $4900 on August 28 at 4PM ET?$5
Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?$5
Roaring Kitty livestream on Friday?$5
Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?$4
Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?$3
LayerZero airdrop by June 30?$2
Is $DJT real?$1

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14?$-74
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on September 4?$-37

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.079
Sortino
-0.038
HHI
2423
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
40.1%
Top-5 markets
76.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
8s
between trades
Avg Gap
56.1m
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.52
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
48
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
61% gaps < 10s — regular intervalsCV 4.52 — diverse sizes (human-like)32% night trades — never sleeps16/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal4% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.11
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
3/9/2025, 12:20:15 AM5 trades$7,3371 min
8/28/2025, 8:58:49 AM2 trades$5,1295 min
6/26/2026, 3:17:16 AM2 trades$3190 min
7/6/2026, 8:27:08 AM2 trades$3190 min
4/17/2026, 2:34:24 AM2 trades$3190 min
6/28/2024, 8:28:31 AM1 trades$2360 min
6/24/2024, 8:58:56 AM1 trades$2350 min
6/18/2024, 9:36:58 AM1 trades$2330 min
6/11/2024, 2:13:55 PM1 trades$2240 min
6/8/2024, 3:14:19 PM1 trades$2230 min
6/7/2024, 8:09:28 AM1 trades$2190 min
2/18/2026, 1:13:36 PM1 trades$2100 min
2/4/2026, 7:02:36 AM1 trades$2090 min
5/24/2024, 7:50:05 AM2 trades$2091 min
5/28/2024, 12:52:34 AM1 trades$2080 min
1/16/2026, 2:17:46 PM1 trades$2060 min
2/8/2025, 5:48:03 AM1 trades$1080 min
2/7/2025, 12:34:35 AM1 trades$1080 min
3/16/2026, 3:03:25 AM1 trades$1080 min
9/4/2025, 8:25:24 AM3 trades$1070 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-24
06-28
02-11
03-18
07-09
12-31
04-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 209 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
5.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.11/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100