@plythesis

#2,900,19659

0x81e96a9a3fac6a82be8318f84b4cf32f2c3a8e07

~15d· 266 markets · 1555 tradesVol: $90,3922026-08-04 22:03:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

59
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

70% (169/243)19.8/20
1.16x (win $880 / loss $756)4.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.15715/15
Sortino 1.75510/10
$+0.0083 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 2485 (243 markets)0.1/10
21/32 profitable days (66%)8.9/10
Max DD 73% of peak ($293 / $398)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 70%
DCA Master
Avg 5.9 entries/market
Consistent
21/32 profitable days
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🌤️ WEATHER#296,503$-695Vol: $75,860
CRYPTO#61,379$225Vol: $11,407
🎭 CULTURE#675,745$-8Vol: $1,037
💰 FINANCE#645,523$-285Vol: $956
SPORTS#1,395,645$-13Vol: $936
💻 TECH#208,474$-3Vol: $191

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-778
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$90,392
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
266
total markets
Trades
1006B / 549S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d

Periods

#2
Today
$-176
Vol: $3,250
Week
$-200
Vol: $14,418
Month
$390
Vol: $20,552
All Time
$-778
Vol: $90,392

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
70%
169W / 74L events
Realized PnL
$-778
Win Rate
70%
169W / 74L
Profit Factor
1.16x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-11

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $281 (0.3607659191672557% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 22?$127
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?$105
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$49
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$47
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on July 19?$40
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 17?$35
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on July 20?$28
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 20?$28
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$21
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 20?$20

Top Losers

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $215 on July 22?$-140
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 30?$-105
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $325 on July 24?$-91
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$-83
Will Meta (META) close above $600 on July 24?$-63
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 19?$-54
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?$-33
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on July 19?$-22
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$-19
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on July 21?$-18

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.060
Sortino
0.064
HHI
2177
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.009
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
41.1%
Top-5 markets
71.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
103.7
Very active
Markets / Day
17.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
23.7m
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
21.6

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 105s — normal for humanCV 7.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock104 trades/day — automation18 markets/day — mass coverage65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.93
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.6%
Mid (20-55c)8.3%
High (>55c)82%

Sessions

#12
7/21/2026, 9:03:07 PM31 trades$4,7542 min
7/22/2026, 9:57:12 AM5 trades$2,6162 min
7/28/2026, 12:01:01 AM14 trades$1,7750 min
7/26/2026, 6:51:57 PM19 trades$9452 min
7/17/2026, 8:10:57 AM105 trades$5351 min
7/16/2026, 7:35:50 PM129 trades$5085 min
7/22/2026, 9:20:13 AM3 trades$4493 min
7/27/2026, 2:58:39 AM41 trades$39611 min
7/26/2026, 7:37:15 PM14 trades$3380 min
7/27/2026, 3:19:06 AM14 trades$2600 min
7/25/2026, 5:15:55 AM15 trades$2494 min
7/16/2026, 8:15:41 PM80 trades$2245 min
7/26/2026, 4:51:18 PM8 trades$2162 min
7/16/2026, 9:12:25 PM68 trades$2111 min
7/16/2026, 7:52:26 PM14 trades$1970 min
7/16/2026, 9:39:58 PM54 trades$1545 min
7/16/2026, 9:21:49 PM47 trades$1317 min
7/22/2026, 2:26:22 PM1 trades$1000 min
7/16/2026, 7:58:46 PM11 trades$990 min
7/26/2026, 7:00:37 PM2 trades$970 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-07-16 12:00:00
2026-07-18 01:00:00
2026-07-20 03:59:00
2026-07-22 16:00:00
2026-07-24 21:00:00
2026-07-30 12:00:00
2026-11-01 00:00:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
64% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.93/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.6 / M8.3 / H82