ConcedoNulli

@ConcedoNulli

#191,13863

0x81e9f0db5df4e88cac1e475d938835ada449b3d5

~121d· 188 markets · 632 tradesVol: $13,3042026-08-04 18:13:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

63
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (94/160)14.4/20
1.14x (win $525 / loss $461)4.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.86615/15
Sortino 1.14810/10
$+0.0304 per $1 invested1.5/10
HHI 411 (160 markets)10/10
46/74 profitable days (62%)8/10
Max DD 92% of peak ($157 / $171)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+161
Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20
Consistent
46/74 profitable days
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#154,951$13Vol: $8,251
💰 FINANCE#22,920$64Vol: $1,658
🎭 CULTURE#32,625$45Vol: $1,032
SPORTS#228,876$20Vol: $1,012
📢 MENTIONS#18,042$12Vol: $931
💻 TECH#30,930$3Vol: $171
CRYPTO#316,589$4Vol: $131
📈 ECONOMICS#115,730$1Vol: $119

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$161
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,304
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
188
total markets
Trades
445B / 187S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~121d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$5
Vol: $0
All Time
$161
Vol: $13,304

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
59%
94W / 66L events
Realized PnL
$161
Win Rate
59%
94W / 66L
Profit Factor
1.14x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $120 (0.7461371393112007% of PnL)

Top Winners

Another Canada election called by June 30?$49
Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake?$38
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?$33
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?$29
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?$29
Weed rescheduled by March 31?$28
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?$25
Will Trump say “Climate Change” this week? (November 10 - 16)$17
Another Canada election called in 2025?$15
Devils vs. Avalanche$14

Top Losers

Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?$-100
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?$-45
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?$-33
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)$-19
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?$-19
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$-19
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.2m?$-18
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.3m?$-17
Will Trump say "Gobble" or "Waddle" 10+ times at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?$-12
Will Trump say “G20” this week? (November 10 - 16)$-9

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.045
Sortino
0.043
HHI
288
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.037
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.5%
Top-5 markets
32.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
35.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
45%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2146s — normal for humanCV 1.82 — diverse sizes (human-like)45% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal54% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.15
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)33.5%
Mid (20-55c)27.2%
High (>55c)39.3%

Sessions

#12
6/30/2026, 9:19:11 PM2 trades$2000 min
11/21/2025, 2:21:51 AM2 trades$1670 min
11/29/2025, 4:19:35 AM2 trades$1161 min
3/6/2026, 11:36:01 PM2 trades$1001 min
11/29/2025, 6:10:19 AM2 trades$890 min
2/20/2026, 12:49:02 PM1 trades$620 min
10/29/2025, 4:11:33 AM4 trades$624 min
12/12/2025, 4:27:34 PM1 trades$590 min
12/22/2025, 10:35:49 PM1 trades$550 min
6/15/2026, 2:14:55 AM4 trades$522 min
12/12/2025, 5:36:58 PM1 trades$480 min
1/3/2026, 7:09:39 AM6 trades$4111 min
2/16/2026, 4:06:29 AM1 trades$400 min
6/20/2026, 10:17:44 PM1 trades$330 min
12/24/2025, 2:43:15 AM5 trades$3314 min
10/30/2025, 1:55:43 AM2 trades$291 min
12/25/2025, 2:49:57 AM3 trades$265 min
12/3/2025, 9:07:49 PM2 trades$252 min
11/10/2025, 1:02:35 AM1 trades$250 min
1/27/2026, 2:07:41 AM5 trades$248 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-29
11-11
11-30
12-18
01-05
01-27
06-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 119 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.15/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L33.5 / M27.2 / H39.3