@0x81fb62…8306

#156,02474

0x81fb62f6e367c7d4ed199f01eef79f204c9425f3

~30d· 39 markets · 218 tradesVol: $23,0052026-08-04 21:05:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

74
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

71% (24/34)20/20
1.43x (win $1,914 / loss $1,341)7.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.12015/15
Sortino 2.66410/10
$+0.0741 per $1 invested3.7/10
HHI 734 (34 markets)8.8/10
13/20 profitable days (65%)8.8/10
Max DD 78% of peak ($727 / $936)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 71%
Profitable
PnL $+258
DCA Master
Avg 6.0 entries/market
Consistent
13/20 profitable days
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

4
🎭 CULTURE#11,174$289Vol: $21,970
🏛️ POLITICS#1,300,586$-12Vol: $909
📈 ECONOMICS#564,743$-5Vol: $77
SPORTS#1,344,175$-10Vol: $34

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$258
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$23,005
Total Redeem
$1
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
39
total markets
Trades
94B / 124S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~30d

Periods

#2
Today
$-400
Vol: $0
Week
$-781
Vol: $1,250
Month
$-1,093
Vol: $1,250
All Time
$258
Vol: $23,005

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
71%
24W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$258
Win Rate
71%
24W / 10L
Profit Factor
1.43x
Avg Win
$80
Avg Loss
$-134

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $756 (2.9326635894651103% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$281
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$266
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$209
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$202
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$184
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$162
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$133
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$133
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$115
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$95

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$-695
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$-600
Will Trump visit China by April 30?$-10
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$-10
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO5) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs$-5
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines$-5
Predators vs. Lightning$-5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$-5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$-3
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.108
Sortino
0.091
HHI
616
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.086
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.3%
Top-5 markets
45.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.57
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
49
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.4

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 278s — normal for humanCV 1.57 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.03
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.4%
Mid (20-55c)18.1%
High (>55c)74.5%

Sessions

#12
6/15/2026, 9:18:19 AM18 trades$1,3110 min
6/11/2026, 7:12:39 AM13 trades$6300 min
7/25/2026, 2:13:51 PM9 trades$6250 min
5/4/2026, 8:18:28 PM2 trades$5000 min
4/23/2026, 4:42:54 PM20 trades$4621 min
6/7/2026, 9:47:43 AM4 trades$4610 min
6/5/2026, 11:40:58 AM3 trades$4550 min
4/24/2026, 8:48:38 AM12 trades$4505 min
8/3/2026, 10:37:42 AM2 trades$4460 min
6/19/2026, 9:39:35 AM7 trades$4170 min
8/3/2026, 10:15:53 AM8 trades$3770 min
6/22/2026, 9:19:49 AM5 trades$3660 min
6/14/2026, 12:46:06 PM3 trades$3570 min
5/4/2026, 9:54:32 AM6 trades$3540 min
6/24/2026, 2:05:49 PM3 trades$3430 min
5/18/2026, 8:05:43 AM8 trades$3260 min
7/24/2026, 10:14:07 AM2 trades$3101 min
4/23/2026, 10:50:34 AM2 trades$3090 min
4/27/2026, 7:37:14 AM10 trades$3020 min
5/1/2026, 11:13:24 AM2 trades$2480 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-25
04-12
04-23
05-01
06-05
06-15
06-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 12 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.03/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.4 / M18.1 / H74.5