@NiezlyHarpagan
#2,961,422210x821f7288f5043da0cafc084c86e0f5ca435c3084
~20d· 32 markets · 202 tradesVol: $30,9442026-08-04 20:21:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
62% (16/26)15.8/20
0.50x (win $1,137 / loss $2,255)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.0520/15
Sortino -4.1700/10
$-0.1585 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2556 (26 markets)0/10
6/12 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 324% of peak ($1,615 / $498)0/10
Badges
4Sniper
Win rate 62%
Lottery Player
31% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 5.9 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Categories
2🏛️ POLITICS#1,613,058$-977Vol: $29,155
📈 ECONOMICS#674,476$-402Vol: $1,789
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,378
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$30,944
Total Redeem
$134
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
32
total markets
Trades
75B / 127S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d
Periods
#2Today
$26
Vol: $0
Week
$72
Vol: $0
Month
$10
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,378
Vol: $30,944
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
62%
16W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-1,378
Win Rate
62%
16W / 10L
Profit Factor
0.5x
Avg Win
$71
Avg Loss
$-225
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $869 (0.6303431361878433% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$433
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$345
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?$91
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$67
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$66
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?$63
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?$53
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?$8
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$7
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$4
Top Losers
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-789
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-600
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$-509
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-149
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-100
Houthis successfully target shipping by March 31?$-50
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$-40
Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?$-12
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?$-2
Will India strike Pakistan by March 31?$-2
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.203
Sortino
-0.163
HHI
1229
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.209
Kelly %
31.7%
Half-Kelly
15.8%
Top-1 market
31.6%
Top-5 markets
58%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.51
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
34
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.9
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 172s — normal for humanCV 1.51 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern11/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 10:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.88
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)30.7%
Mid (20-55c)30.7%
High (>55c)38.7%
Sessions
#124/30/2026, 10:41:30 AM33 trades$3,9934 min
5/1/2026, 4:57:40 PM15 trades$3,3810 min
4/28/2026, 3:19:44 PM12 trades$2,9317 min
5/6/2026, 12:32:02 PM16 trades$2,3354 min
7/27/2026, 3:13:12 PM12 trades$2,0450 min
5/6/2026, 12:43:10 PM9 trades$1,1370 min
4/22/2026, 2:28:18 PM3 trades$1,0120 min
4/9/2026, 11:45:55 AM16 trades$8151 min
7/20/2026, 11:45:55 AM3 trades$6330 min
4/24/2026, 2:05:50 PM1 trades$3330 min
4/17/2026, 11:33:22 AM2 trades$2740 min
5/26/2026, 4:12:36 PM7 trades$2730 min
4/21/2026, 11:46:30 AM4 trades$2000 min
4/7/2026, 1:36:33 PM3 trades$1380 min
4/7/2026, 1:43:37 PM4 trades$1330 min
4/24/2026, 9:12:56 PM1 trades$1310 min
4/7/2026, 1:24:01 PM2 trades$1280 min
4/24/2026, 11:40:30 AM1 trades$1240 min
4/9/2026, 2:51:37 PM1 trades$990 min
4/10/2026, 8:52:45 PM1 trades$830 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-12
03-19
04-03
04-24
04-29
05-06
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 26 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
62.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.88/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L30.7 / M30.7 / H38.7