@0x822F3A…5257

#2,891,4608

0x822f3af2e270f0ed81015f5671ba5e5b6be2c545

~72d· 344 markets · 1310 tradesVol: $95,0752026-08-05 03:06:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

14% (49/343)0/20
0.64x (win $939 / loss $1,472)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.1930/15
Sortino -5.3330/10
$-0.3474 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 921 (343 markets)7.9/10
12/70 profitable days (17%)0/10
Max DD 290% of peak ($826 / $284)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
79% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#295,906$-566Vol: $91,342
₿ CRYPTO#1,510,072$-146Vol: $3,733

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-712
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$95,075
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
344
total markets
Trades
828B / 482S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~72d

Periods

#2
Week
$-5
Vol: $560
Month
$-24
Vol: $638
All Time
$-712
Vol: $95,075

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
14%
49W / 294L events
Realized PnL
$-712
Win Rate
14%
49W / 294L
Profit Factor
0.64x
Avg Win
$19
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $514 (0.72206545086973% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 27?$347
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 29?$126
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on March 26?$41
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 20?$33
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$29
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 2?$26
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$22
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$20
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$20

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or higher on April 2?$-70
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 11?$-37
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or higher on March 27?$-35
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on March 27?$-26
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 24?$-22
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 29?$-22
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 30?$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$-20
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 24?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 8?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.166
Sortino
-0.314
HHI
102
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.348
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.2%
Top-5 markets
15.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
45%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.7

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 93s — normal for humanCV 2.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)45% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal2.2 markets/day — normal51% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.81
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)79%
Mid (20-55c)19.3%
High (>55c)1.7%

Sessions

#12
6/16/2026, 1:59:07 AM37 trades$2,3355 min
6/15/2026, 12:29:27 AM6 trades$2,0800 min
6/16/2026, 1:49:10 AM14 trades$1,7714 min
7/10/2026, 1:24:08 AM3 trades$1,5000 min
7/7/2026, 1:02:53 PM11 trades$1,0171 min
6/18/2026, 10:54:50 AM12 trades$1,0000 min
6/13/2026, 10:24:39 AM31 trades$4063 min
4/2/2026, 8:25:09 AM31 trades$4055 min
6/14/2026, 6:33:49 AM8 trades$3241 min
4/28/2026, 12:54:50 AM16 trades$2722 min
6/15/2026, 3:39:37 AM14 trades$2560 min
6/20/2026, 8:07:40 AM11 trades$2142 min
6/20/2026, 11:08:19 PM2 trades$2000 min
6/30/2026, 5:45:47 AM11 trades$1891 min
6/15/2026, 3:54:13 AM11 trades$1810 min
4/30/2026, 12:02:46 AM2 trades$1690 min
6/10/2026, 1:32:06 PM31 trades$15311 min
4/27/2026, 2:41:42 AM15 trades$1390 min
6/14/2026, 6:23:57 AM11 trades$1210 min
4/2/2026, 8:10:29 AM15 trades$1110 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-28
03-26
04-25
06-05
06-18
07-08
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 128 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
56% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.81/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L79 / M19.3 / H1.7