@icapus

#2,761,86348

0x824a6a17b29377d063fa7ebfa92c7261999f01b4

~130d· 1857 markets · 2928 tradesVol: $20,8852026-08-05 05:04:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

48
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (949/1819)11.1/20
1.03x (win $1,283 / loss $1,244)2.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.5299.9/15
Sortino 0.8828.8/10
$+0.0101 per $1 invested0.5/10
HHI 33 (1819 markets)10/10
60/125 profitable days (48%)4.5/10
Max DD 343% of peak ($133 / $39)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
57% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
CRYPTO#1,510,568$-147Vol: $11,201
SPORTS#1,307,998$-8Vol: $4,076
🌤️ WEATHER#255,101$-15Vol: $2,280
🏛️ POLITICS#1,391,561$-23Vol: $906
📈 ECONOMICS#640,410$-34Vol: $803
🎭 CULTURE#634,508$-4Vol: $707
💰 FINANCE#548,315$-5Vol: $386
💻 TECH#231,117$-14Vol: $360
📢 MENTIONS#137,465$-15Vol: $40

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-268
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,885
Total Redeem
$135
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1857
total markets
Trades
2122B / 806S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~130d

Periods

#2
Today
$-5
Vol: $320
Week
$-13
Vol: $1,542
Month
$-45
Vol: $2,208
All Time
$-268
Vol: $20,885

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
52%
949W / 870L events
Realized PnL
$-268
Win Rate
52%
949W / 870L
Profit Factor
1.03x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $98 (0.36676506856993385% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$48
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET$45
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 12PM ET$5
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$5
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2025-12-13?$4

Top Losers

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-34
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$-14
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?$-14
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET$-12
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 11AM ET$-12
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$-10
HYPE Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET$-10
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12PM ET$-9
HYPE Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET$-9

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.028
Sortino
0.040
HHI
22
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.010
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.9%
Top-5 markets
6.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
6.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.91
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.9

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 226s — normal for humanCV 0.91 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — normal6.1 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.6
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.2%
Mid (20-55c)42.6%
High (>55c)43.2%

Sessions

#12
4/2/2026, 1:44:17 PM40 trades$13210 min
4/2/2026, 6:25:27 PM17 trades$893 min
4/2/2026, 6:52:51 PM13 trades$790 min
6/10/2026, 2:37:49 PM11 trades$784 min
3/28/2026, 2:15:39 PM199 trades$7726 min
4/2/2026, 1:28:11 PM26 trades$769 min
4/2/2026, 5:58:59 PM32 trades$753 min
8/4/2026, 7:22:59 PM29 trades$682 min
3/28/2026, 3:22:21 PM100 trades$6011 min
4/2/2026, 6:44:15 PM22 trades$591 min
6/14/2026, 11:53:37 PM12 trades$551 min
3/28/2026, 3:07:07 PM90 trades$353 min
3/21/2026, 10:44:53 PM3 trades$325 min
6/12/2026, 1:31:00 PM11 trades$2911 min
4/3/2026, 2:56:03 PM15 trades$287 min
6/17/2026, 4:30:20 PM13 trades$273 min
4/3/2026, 2:23:39 PM11 trades$276 min
4/3/2026, 4:14:45 PM13 trades$267 min
6/11/2026, 6:31:00 PM9 trades$252 min
11/28/2025, 11:20:57 PM2 trades$250 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-06
10-28
11-20
12-10
01-02
06-12
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 111 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.5% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.6/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.2 / M42.6 / H43.2