iqdiff

@iqdiff

#149,95456

0x826e59ccf1682b771d060d1dd8566dddb7172beb

~28d· 60 markets · 491 tradesVol: $238,3272026-08-04 22:49:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

56
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (33/53)16.1/20
1.18x (win $11,485 / loss $9,719)4.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.70815/15
Sortino 2.39310/10
$+0.0452 per $1 invested2.3/10
HHI 6709 (53 markets)0/10
12/19 profitable days (63%)8.3/10
Max DD 73% of peak ($3,022 / $4,114)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 62%
Profitable
PnL $+282
DCA Master
Avg 8.4 entries/market
Consistent
12/19 profitable days
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#21,458$758Vol: $194,591
SPORTS#1,808,171$-638Vol: $30,677
CRYPTO#1,419,097$-64Vol: $4,237
💰 FINANCE#636,091$-122Vol: $2,337

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$282
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$238,327
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
60
total markets
Trades
153B / 338S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~28d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
62%
33W / 20L events
Realized PnL
$282
Win Rate
62%
33W / 20L
Profit Factor
1.18x
Avg Win
$348
Avg Loss
$-607

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,407 (19.15706490929705% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2,777
UFC Fight Night: Aoriqileng vs. Cody Haddon (Bantamweight, Prelims)$1,353
Spurs vs. Knicks$1,277
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$574
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$505
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$467
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?$419
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score$390
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D$373
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$333

Top Losers

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-3,412
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?$-1,315
UFC Fight Night: Angela Hill vs. Jingnan Xiong (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)$-1,274
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-906
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$-600
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Federico Bondioli vs Emilio Nava$-466
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$-400
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)$-243
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner$-235
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 30?$-212

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.087
Sortino
0.084
HHI
885
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.046
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
24.7%
Top-5 markets
51.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
23.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1437s — normal for humanCV 1.72 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity7 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.4
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.6%
Mid (20-55c)19.6%
High (>55c)77.8%

Sessions

#12
6/1/2026, 10:59:44 PM10 trades$150,6051 min
6/8/2026, 8:51:22 PM2 trades$5,6230 min
6/3/2026, 5:28:47 AM24 trades$5,1810 min
5/30/2026, 9:30:08 AM4 trades$3,2200 min
5/27/2026, 7:48:21 AM10 trades$2,7121 min
6/1/2026, 2:14:25 AM8 trades$2,3420 min
6/9/2026, 7:35:30 AM2 trades$2,1190 min
5/24/2026, 1:11:33 AM11 trades$2,0741 min
6/10/2026, 12:59:54 PM5 trades$2,0530 min
6/8/2026, 6:45:51 AM5 trades$2,0270 min
6/12/2026, 4:35:49 AM8 trades$2,0010 min
6/3/2026, 3:07:53 AM18 trades$1,9351 min
6/1/2026, 11:38:40 AM7 trades$1,8034 min
6/1/2026, 2:34:22 AM2 trades$1,6900 min
6/7/2026, 4:19:51 AM8 trades$1,5210 min
6/11/2026, 10:15:21 PM8 trades$1,4320 min
5/30/2026, 3:01:10 AM5 trades$1,3877 min
6/8/2026, 3:41:12 AM7 trades$1,3573 min
6/5/2026, 11:35:31 PM8 trades$1,2390 min
7/5/2026, 7:08:04 PM6 trades$1,2250 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-30
05-04
05-27
06-03
06-06
06-11
07-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
68.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.4/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.6 / M19.6 / H77.8