@khaldunresearch

#3,004,0110

0x827b8183d989b0d00b338a5363761f527e766cb4

~17d· 24 markets · 592 tradesVol: $139,1132026-08-04 20:59:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

15% (2/13)0/20
0.02x (win $55 / loss $2,834)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -14.3610/15
Sortino -11.4830/10
$-0.4347 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 5723 (13 markets)0/10
1/8 profitable days (12%)0/10
Max DD 7438% of peak ($2,816 / $38)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
37% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,574,721$-261Vol: $109,750
📈 ECONOMICS#680,719$-1,862Vol: $28,587
💰 FINANCE#78,979$4Vol: $496
⚽ SPORTS#1,649,154$-80Vol: $250
💻 TECH#226,876$-10Vol: $29

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,209
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$139,113
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
24
total markets
Trades
185B / 407S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-2,209
Vol: $139,113

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
15%
2W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$-2,209
Win Rate
15%
2W / 11L
Profit Factor
0.02x
Avg Win
$28
Avg Loss
$-283

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $55 (0.02507923571493254% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$38
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$18

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$-1,028
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?$-804
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.2% and 5.5%?$-399
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-381
Will Karol G perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$-137
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-34
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.8% and 6.1%?$-27
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$-20
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.5% and 5.8%?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.703
Sortino
-0.686
HHI
403
Diversified
EV per $1
$-1.055
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.3%
Top-5 markets
38.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.44
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.8

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 286s — normal for humanCV 2.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule7 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
19.62
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)37.3%
Mid (20-55c)39.5%
High (>55c)23.2%

Sessions

#12
4/26/2026, 10:51:08 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
4/24/2026, 1:02:34 AM2 trades$3,0000 min
5/5/2026, 10:17:38 AM18 trades$2,1222 min
4/30/2026, 11:28:08 PM42 trades$1,9633 min
7/17/2026, 4:12:37 PM47 trades$1,0484 min
7/17/2026, 4:21:52 PM18 trades$1,0016 min
5/5/2026, 10:02:16 AM28 trades$9662 min
5/26/2026, 8:42:53 AM12 trades$9410 min
5/1/2026, 11:02:40 PM30 trades$9333 min
5/14/2026, 10:16:00 PM27 trades$6422 min
4/20/2026, 11:00:46 PM14 trades$6270 min
5/23/2026, 10:36:08 PM21 trades$4922 min
5/14/2026, 8:24:47 PM13 trades$4791 min
5/23/2026, 9:10:31 PM3 trades$4000 min
5/14/2026, 8:40:44 PM39 trades$3425 min
4/25/2026, 11:23:54 PM21 trades$3178 min
5/14/2026, 8:04:24 PM19 trades$3090 min
4/22/2026, 12:42:20 AM13 trades$2960 min
4/23/2026, 1:10:58 AM11 trades$2592 min
4/22/2026, 12:56:10 AM12 trades$2500 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-23
04-26
04-27
05-01
05-14
05-23
05-26
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 85 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
68.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 19.62/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L37.3 / M39.5 / H23.2