Sugarina

@Sugarina

#16,89137

0x82882d761b0d7f18b2cc286117d10cd8a15a5519

~165d· 921 markets · 11152 tradesVol: $3,408,308 @sugarina692026-08-04 15:06:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

65% (602/920)17.7/20
0.90x (win $68,010 / loss $75,675)1.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.1830/15
Sortino -1.3130/10
$-0.0169 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 125 (920 markets)10/10
103/161 profitable days (64%)8.5/10
Max DD 252% of peak ($20,178 / $7,998)0/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 65%
Profitable
PnL $+8,471
Lottery Player
37% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 12.1 entries/market
Whale
$454,452 invested
Consistent
103/161 profitable days
High Roller
$2,124/day
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
87% maker orders

Categories

3
🎭 CULTURE#781$10,903Vol: $2,836,054
SPORTS#1,853,656$-1,993Vol: $555,590
CRYPTO#1,070,347$-6Vol: $1,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$8,471
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,408,308
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
921
total markets
Trades
6704B / 4448S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~165d

Periods

#2
Today
$185
Vol: $6,647
Week
$184
Vol: $15,361
Month
$245
Vol: $24,884
All Time
$8,471
Vol: $3,408,308

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
65%
602W / 318L events
Realized PnL
$8,471
Win Rate
65%
602W / 318L
Profit Factor
0.9x
Avg Win
$113
Avg Loss
$-241

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,106 (1.0749020519800314% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$3,801
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$3,025
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$2,280
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$2,236
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$2,194
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1,985
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$1,933
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$1,887
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1,842
Trail Blazers vs. Warriors$1,780

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$-6,375
Wizards vs. Pistons$-3,440
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$-3,138
Grizzlies vs. Warriors$-2,990
Warriors vs. Suns$-2,601
Rockets vs. Knicks$-2,459
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$-2,381
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$-2,289
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$-1,895
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$-1,580

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.062
Sortino
-0.046
HHI
111
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.017
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.4%
Top-5 markets
13.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
52.1
Very active
Markets / Day
4.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
23.6m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.57
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.1

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 70s — normal for humanCV 4.57 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock52 trades/day — mass trading4.3 markets/day — normal87% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.12
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)36.8%
Mid (20-55c)22%
High (>55c)41.2%

Sessions

#12
1/16/2026, 5:32:30 AM2 trades$9,9151 min
1/16/2026, 5:17:10 AM10 trades$9,6003 min
1/14/2026, 4:45:44 AM4 trades$9,2002 min
1/14/2026, 3:21:56 AM5 trades$8,9945 min
1/14/2026, 2:49:14 AM15 trades$8,8011 min
1/4/2026, 3:26:51 AM3 trades$8,5532 min
1/18/2026, 1:28:28 AM38 trades$8,5509 min
1/6/2026, 3:35:19 AM3 trades$8,0453 min
6/10/2026, 3:46:36 PM5 trades$7,9984 min
1/4/2026, 9:57:25 PM18 trades$7,6908 min
1/6/2026, 5:35:01 AM1 trades$7,4920 min
2/7/2026, 5:34:09 AM3 trades$7,1440 min
2/10/2026, 3:10:49 AM8 trades$7,1044 min
2/8/2026, 7:49:37 PM12 trades$7,0289 min
1/4/2026, 9:25:45 PM5 trades$6,9300 min
1/15/2026, 4:35:24 AM10 trades$6,7170 min
2/6/2026, 3:13:31 AM37 trades$6,64833 min
1/4/2026, 9:10:27 PM7 trades$6,6383 min
2/5/2026, 4:54:09 AM5 trades$6,5180 min
5/22/2026, 1:40:59 PM17 trades$6,44711 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-04
02-01
02-28
03-26
05-02
06-07
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 159 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.12/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L36.8 / M22 / H41.2