@0x829b…0473

46

0x829b5e8747ac584903f9142fab3b61a154c90473

~43d· 220 markets · 281 trades2026-08-06 07:57:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

46
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (117/210)12.9/20
1.02x (win $2,696 / loss $2,637)2.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.3947.4/15
Sortino 0.4884.9/10
$+0.0049 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 269 (210 markets)10/10
25/41 profitable days (61%)7.7/10
Max DD 301% of peak ($372 / $124)0/10

Badges

2
Consistent
25/41 profitable days
Win Streak
7 wins in a row

Categories

2
⚽ SPORTS#64,203$386Vol: $25,418
📈 ECONOMICS#648,384$-50Vol: $188

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-305
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,080
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
220
total markets
Trades
246B / 35S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~43d

Periods

#2
Month
$-56
Vol: $2,799
All Time
$-305
Vol: $0

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
117W / 93L events
Realized PnL
$-305
Win Rate
56%
117W / 93L
Profit Factor
1.02x
Avg Win
$23
Avg Loss
$-28

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $490 (1.6073418551294656% of PnL)

Top Winners

Texans vs. Chiefs$185
Heat vs. Pistons: O/U 239.5$178
Titans vs. Jaguars$127
Broncos vs. Chiefs$101
Patriots vs. Jets$91
Dolphins vs. Steelers: O/U 41.5$82
O/U 52.5$70
Texans vs. Chargers: O/U 39.5$61
Bills vs. Browns$58
Spread: Seahawks (-13.5)$50

Top Losers

Spread: Steelers (-3.5)$-200
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?$-100
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?$-100
Rams vs. Falcons$-100
Spurs vs. Thunder$-100
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$-95
Spread: Lions (-5.5)$-70
Will the US strike Somalia next?$-63
Arizona State vs. Duke$-60
O/U 48.5$-50

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.020
Sortino
0.022
HHI
267
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.005
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.9%
Top-5 markets
30.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 140s — normal for humanCV 2.36 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.22
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.1%
Mid (20-55c)30.1%
High (>55c)52.8%

Sessions

#12
12/28/2025, 8:35:23 AM5 trades$9323 min
1/3/2026, 8:40:51 AM5 trades$9259 min
8/5/2026, 5:19:23 AM5 trades$8870 min
1/2/2026, 12:35:39 AM2 trades$7641 min
12/26/2025, 12:58:15 AM1 trades$7420 min
12/28/2025, 5:40:13 AM1 trades$6320 min
1/1/2026, 3:43:45 AM1 trades$6140 min
12/25/2025, 4:21:43 AM2 trades$4882 min
12/18/2025, 6:39:57 PM2 trades$3851 min
1/9/2026, 9:51:22 AM20 trades$36013 min
12/21/2025, 5:15:40 AM1 trades$3060 min
12/8/2025, 5:32:39 AM1 trades$2850 min
1/16/2026, 10:54:42 AM17 trades$22511 min
12/16/2025, 2:07:59 AM2 trades$2151 min
12/13/2025, 4:11:35 AM3 trades$2000 min
12/14/2025, 2:17:17 AM2 trades$2001 min
12/16/2025, 2:50:51 AM1 trades$2000 min
12/18/2025, 8:34:42 AM2 trades$2003 min
12/29/2025, 3:50:25 AM2 trades$1532 min
1/10/2026, 7:43:16 AM15 trades$15312 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-06
12-14
12-21
12-27
01-03
01-12
02-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 11 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
12.5% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.22/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L17.1 / M30.1 / H52.8