ItaiB

@ItaiB

#2,692,06468

0x82b601f9d06bf22e316869bf2c31ca7f6d425a2e

~109d· 238 markets · 1624 tradesVol: $27,4592026-08-04 22:43:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (114/214)11.6/20
1.33x (win $3,176 / loss $2,385)6.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.26515/15
Sortino 3.13910/10
$+0.0777 per $1 invested3.9/10
HHI 335 (214 markets)10/10
43/82 profitable days (52%)5.6/10
Max DD 43% of peak ($489 / $1,143)5.4/10

Badges

3
DCA Master
Avg 7.5 entries/market
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#62,700$105Vol: $24,590
📢 MENTIONS#159,742$-66Vol: $838
🎭 CULTURE#98,819$4Vol: $808
💰 FINANCE#636,591$-126Vol: $460
🌤️ WEATHER#269,559$-32Vol: $267
⚽ SPORTS#1,547,937$-36Vol: $220
📈 ECONOMICS#634,020$-25Vol: $218
₿ CRYPTO#1,114,503$-8Vol: $59

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-185
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$27,459
Total Redeem
$983
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
238
total markets
Trades
1056B / 568S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~109d

Periods

#2
Today
$-10
Vol: $0
Week
$-20
Vol: $0
Month
$-31
Vol: $0
All Time
$-185
Vol: $27,459

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
53%
114W / 100L events
Realized PnL
$-185
Win Rate
53%
114W / 100L
Profit Factor
1.33x
Avg Win
$28
Avg Loss
$-26

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,019 (10.900502078497004% of PnL)

Top Winners

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$820
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?$766
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$433
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$231
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$186
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?$61
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?$51
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?$48
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?$42
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$38

Top Losers

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$-227
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$-219
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$-156
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-155
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$-114
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?$-89
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?$-83
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$-78
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-77
Military action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?$-71

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.066
Sortino
0.143
HHI
464
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.076
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.4%
Top-5 markets
37.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.4
Active
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 821s — normal for humanCV 1.00 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active1.7 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.54
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.7%
Mid (20-55c)23.8%
High (>55c)60.5%

Sessions

#12
4/29/2026, 2:46:40 PM2 trades$5200 min
4/28/2026, 8:23:20 AM2 trades$5000 min
4/30/2026, 8:52:14 AM3 trades$3432 min
6/8/2026, 6:34:07 AM6 trades$2520 min
5/17/2026, 8:31:31 PM21 trades$22815 min
4/3/2026, 6:41:59 PM23 trades$21014 min
5/20/2026, 10:49:34 AM4 trades$2020 min
6/17/2026, 7:40:47 PM11 trades$19722 min
7/13/2026, 2:28:43 PM9 trades$1897 min
4/13/2026, 8:28:07 AM18 trades$1804 min
4/10/2026, 3:16:57 PM3 trades$1660 min
4/15/2026, 4:51:34 PM21 trades$1427 min
4/9/2026, 8:27:33 PM5 trades$1332 min
5/10/2026, 12:25:03 PM1 trades$1280 min
4/26/2026, 10:21:16 PM6 trades$1251 min
6/18/2026, 6:51:49 AM2 trades$1240 min
5/9/2026, 6:27:48 AM2 trades$1200 min
6/10/2026, 10:02:36 PM9 trades$1161 min
6/17/2026, 6:09:29 PM9 trades$1142 min
6/10/2026, 9:25:55 PM9 trades$1148 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-12
03-30
04-15
05-01
05-19
06-11
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 14 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.54/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.7 / M23.8 / H60.5