@ArienNasr
#3,060,987180x82c94c218d9c102fbe58b92f7c7c920a6b4736fc
~43d· 61 markets · 1173 tradesVol: $431,9792026-08-04 21:04:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
38% (21/56)3.8/20
0.38x (win $49,615 / loss $129,060)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.7780/15
Sortino -4.7130/10
$-0.4127 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 573 (56 markets)9.6/10
12/25 profitable days (48%)4.5/10
Max DD 823% of peak ($97,177 / $11,811)0/10
Badges
3Whale
$192,522 invested
High Roller
$2,790/day
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
3🏛️ POLITICS#1,638,469$-11,340Vol: $424,248
📈 ECONOMICS#654,097$-70Vol: $6,131
⚽ SPORTS#1,705,007$-129Vol: $1,600
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-11,540
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$431,979
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
61
total markets
Trades
745B / 428S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~43d
Periods
#2Today
$22
Vol: $4,500
Week
$411
Vol: $11,359
Month
$-826
Vol: $17,397
All Time
$-11,540
Vol: $431,979
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
38%
21W / 35L events
Realized PnL
$-11,540
Win Rate
38%
21W / 35L
Profit Factor
0.38x
Avg Win
$2,363
Avg Loss
$-4,033
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $19,746 (1.7110579631025726% of PnL)
Top Winners
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$8,065
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$6,124
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?$5,556
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$4,722
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$4,380
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$4,350
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$3,645
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$2,549
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?$2,327
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$1,968
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-58,670
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?$-29,872
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-7,765
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$-6,417
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$-5,497
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-3,016
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$-2,965
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$-2,921
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-2,208
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-1,988
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.245
Sortino
-0.186
HHI
1242
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.317
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.4%
Top-5 markets
69.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
17.0
Active
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.0
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 98s — normal for humanCV 2.96 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock17 trades/day — very active0.9 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 17:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
25.05
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)10.7%
Mid (20-55c)30.9%
High (>55c)58.4%
Sessions
#127/10/2026, 7:19:55 PM2 trades$15,0000 min
6/17/2026, 11:30:28 AM4 trades$14,9478 min
6/20/2026, 2:41:46 PM32 trades$10,2660 min
5/31/2026, 7:23:27 AM2 trades$9,0540 min
6/17/2026, 1:45:56 PM8 trades$8,0052 min
5/28/2026, 11:04:50 PM7 trades$7,7150 min
6/17/2026, 7:42:07 PM21 trades$7,0760 min
5/28/2026, 1:04:49 PM32 trades$7,0336 min
6/17/2026, 11:10:58 PM20 trades$6,7242 min
6/14/2026, 10:40:07 AM1 trades$6,1060 min
6/14/2026, 8:58:24 PM3 trades$5,6280 min
6/14/2026, 8:17:48 PM4 trades$5,4961 min
6/8/2026, 9:27:45 PM5 trades$5,0720 min
6/6/2026, 9:53:42 AM12 trades$4,8800 min
6/17/2026, 11:18:37 AM25 trades$4,6884 min
6/18/2026, 10:10:43 AM7 trades$4,5580 min
5/28/2026, 6:46:13 PM12 trades$4,3870 min
6/18/2026, 2:35:14 PM4 trades$4,0540 min
6/25/2026, 8:07:50 PM1 trades$3,8000 min
6/8/2026, 10:03:18 PM16 trades$3,6171 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-28
06-04
06-09
06-14
06-20
06-28
07-13
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 13 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 25.05/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.7 / M30.9 / H58.4