@Monsterstappen

#18,06772

0x82dfc3b46c414a5de1c8d9b2598f8f0a3c680f66

~45d· 185 markets · 1194 tradesVol: $286,0352026-08-04 15:17:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

72
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

84% (156/185)20/20
1.31x (win $2,129 / loss $1,623)6.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.04015/15
Sortino 1.19110/10
$+0.0091 per $1 invested0.5/10
HHI 233 (185 markets)10/10
35/40 profitable days (88%)10/10
Max DD 154% of peak ($1,242 / $805)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 84%
Profitable
PnL $+7,748
DCA Master
Avg 6.6 entries/market
Whale
$55,881 invested
Consistent
35/40 profitable days
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

4
🌤️ WEATHER#246$7,695Vol: $276,075
CRYPTO#115,396$64Vol: $5,872
📈 ECONOMICS#619,229$-16Vol: $4,080
🎭 CULTURE#89,522$5Vol: $8

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$7,748
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$286,035
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
185
total markets
Trades
460B / 734S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~45d

Periods

#2
Week
$58
Vol: $1,042
Month
$419
Vol: $1,280
All Time
$7,748
Vol: $286,035

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
84%
156W / 29L events
Realized PnL
$7,748
Win Rate
84%
156W / 29L
Profit Factor
1.31x
Avg Win
$14
Avg Loss
$-325

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $761 (0.09825860693717717% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 15?$337
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 15?$232
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 16?$192
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 9?$145
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 4?$125
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 19?$122
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on July 21?$107
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 7?$97
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 12?$94
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on March 25?$91

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-1,246
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on March 26?$-353
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?$-16
Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin before February?$-7

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.054
Sortino
0.022
HHI
197
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.009
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.7%
Top-5 markets
19.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.7

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 274s — normal for humanCV 1.55 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.63
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.1%
Mid (20-55c)1.3%
High (>55c)97.6%

Sessions

#12
3/26/2026, 5:55:23 PM5 trades$3,4643 min
3/26/2026, 2:59:31 PM18 trades$2,78712 min
5/15/2026, 3:22:14 PM22 trades$2,7411 min
5/14/2026, 6:56:21 AM40 trades$2,7169 min
7/23/2026, 11:51:03 AM17 trades$2,6393 min
7/7/2026, 12:21:04 PM19 trades$2,2704 min
5/28/2026, 8:21:17 AM24 trades$2,1236 min
7/6/2026, 7:55:20 PM5 trades$2,0970 min
7/18/2026, 6:04:13 PM36 trades$1,6793 min
5/14/2026, 12:34:13 PM7 trades$1,5591 min
7/9/2026, 6:36:58 AM6 trades$1,5400 min
5/14/2026, 9:52:15 AM8 trades$1,5301 min
5/12/2026, 11:22:15 AM20 trades$1,4333 min
7/23/2026, 1:40:21 AM3 trades$1,3990 min
5/14/2026, 6:31:09 AM39 trades$1,3614 min
7/21/2026, 2:01:42 PM11 trades$1,3420 min
6/1/2026, 12:25:27 PM7 trades$1,3210 min
7/19/2026, 9:01:10 PM27 trades$1,3007 min
7/18/2026, 7:01:01 PM16 trades$1,2957 min
5/15/2026, 10:01:08 AM18 trades$1,2903 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-26
03-23
05-05
05-12
05-29
07-09
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
90% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.63/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.1 / M1.3 / H97.6