Allea.Iacta.Est

@Allea.Iacta.Est

#23,033100

0x830f0e2d7d2fe12e2d9842622ad42807b9d6cda7

~50d· 171 markets · 905 tradesVol: $36,8822026-08-04 16:19:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

100
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

96% (164/171)20/20
7.17x (win $8,505 / loss $1,186)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.40015/15
Sortino 27.19010/10
$+0.3999 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 182 (171 markets)10/10
46/50 profitable days (92%)10/10
Max DD 11% of peak ($769 / $7,319)10/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 96%
Profitable
PnL $+5,629
DCA Master
Avg 5.3 entries/market
Consistent
46/50 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 11%
Win Streak
69 wins in a row

Categories

3
💰 FINANCE#999$5,633Vol: $36,345
⚽ SPORTS#1,292,676$-8Vol: $424
🏛️ POLITICS#204,605$6Vol: $26

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,629
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$36,882
Total Redeem
$432
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
171
total markets
Trades
183B / 722S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~50d

Periods

#2
Today
$208
Vol: $387
Week
$1,917
Vol: $3,997
Month
$1,917
Vol: $3,997
All Time
$5,629
Vol: $36,882

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
96%
160W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$5,629
Win Rate
96%
160W / 7L
Profit Factor
7.17x
Avg Win
$52
Avg Loss
$-296

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,722 (0.6613017562249602% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Paramount Skydance (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?$1,791
Will Clorox (CLX) beat quarterly earnings?$1,481
Will United Natural Foods (UNFI) beat quarterly earnings?$451
Will Williams Companies (WMB) beat quarterly earnings?$444
Will Teladoc Health (TDOC) beat quarterly earnings?$442
Will Chewy (CHWY) beat quarterly earnings?$426
Will Apollo Global Management (APO) beat quarterly earnings?$365
Will FTI Consulting (FCN) beat quarterly earnings?$352
Will MGM Resorts (MGM) beat quarterly earnings?$299
Will Draftkings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?$267

Top Losers

Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?$-593
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-400
Will BP (BP) beat quarterly earnings?$-192

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.332
Sortino
0.764
HHI
149
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.394
Kelly %
79.8%
Half-Kelly
39.9%
Top-1 market
5.5%
Top-5 markets
16.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
29.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
5.1h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.23
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.7

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1776s — normal for humanCV 1.23 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern12/24 hours — normal schedule8 trades/day — normal1.4 markets/day — normal20% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.33
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.1%
Mid (20-55c)6%
High (>55c)92.9%

Sessions

#12
7/29/2026, 8:00:03 PM66 trades$2,55315 min
4/29/2026, 8:00:14 PM24 trades$2,0442 min
8/3/2026, 8:10:05 PM17 trades$1,8085 min
5/4/2026, 8:01:04 PM17 trades$1,3554 min
8/3/2026, 11:31:17 AM23 trades$1,1840 min
7/28/2026, 8:05:02 PM13 trades$8851 min
7/28/2026, 11:00:04 AM8 trades$7720 min
5/7/2026, 8:15:03 PM18 trades$6910 min
6/9/2026, 11:00:03 AM8 trades$6300 min
5/13/2026, 11:00:04 AM2 trades$6000 min
5/6/2026, 8:05:02 PM17 trades$5010 min
5/7/2026, 8:01:03 PM31 trades$4594 min
7/30/2026, 11:30:03 AM14 trades$4270 min
5/5/2026, 8:13:18 PM7 trades$4182 min
4/30/2026, 1:05:32 PM2 trades$4080 min
5/4/2026, 8:20:58 PM2 trades$4040 min
6/10/2026, 11:04:55 AM21 trades$4000 min
7/30/2026, 11:00:03 AM12 trades$3900 min
4/29/2026, 1:13:42 PM5 trades$3580 min
8/4/2026, 10:30:03 AM15 trades$3510 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-08
05-06
05-20
06-09
06-24
07-21
08-03
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
79.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.33/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.1 / M6 / H92.9