@LiquidityCrisisActor

#32,34781

0x833cc22d38ce8054bcdac8d3ddc961c74575f919

~34d· 27 markets · 295 tradesVol: $77,1202026-08-04 19:56:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

81
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (14/25)13/20
2.12x (win $9,204 / loss $4,349)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.81715/15
Sortino 9.56110/10
$+0.1581 per $1 invested7.9/10
HHI 896 (25 markets)8/10
11/17 profitable days (65%)8.7/10
Max DD 55% of peak ($2,681 / $4,855)3/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+3,700
DCA Master
Avg 10.8 entries/market
Consistent
11/17 profitable days
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#27,697$481Vol: $36,280
🎭 CULTURE#23,164$83Vol: $24,645
SPORTS#14,104$3,135Vol: $16,196

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,700
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$77,120
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
27
total markets
Trades
182B / 113S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~34d

Periods

#2
Today
$-80
Vol: $0
Week
$300
Vol: $0
Month
$500
Vol: $0
All Time
$3,700
Vol: $77,120

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
14W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$3,700
Win Rate
56%
14W / 11L
Profit Factor
2.12x
Avg Win
$657
Avg Loss
$-395

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,832 (1.576516793798215% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?$3,641
Will Robert Irwin & Witney Carson win Dancing with the Stars Season 34?$1,202
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?$990
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?$961
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 300k?$561
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$480
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?$423
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?$322
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?$235
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$155

Top Losers

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?$-1,160
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$-934
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$-805
Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?$-483
Will Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa win the Sinquefield Cup 2025 chess tournament?$-350
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-312
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?$-110
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be between 250k and 275k?$-56
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be between 175k and 200k?$-52
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be between 225k and 250k?$-51

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.245
Sortino
0.395
HHI
567
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.186
Kelly %
21.6%
Half-Kelly
10.8%
Top-1 market
11.8%
Top-5 markets
47%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.9

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 132s — normal for humanCV 2.36 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal57% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.76
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.2%
Mid (20-55c)26.4%
High (>55c)54.4%

Sessions

#12
4/3/2026, 2:56:25 PM23 trades$4,0080 min
7/25/2025, 5:21:11 PM1 trades$2,5000 min
11/26/2025, 1:16:33 AM9 trades$1,9751 min
3/30/2026, 6:16:51 PM1 trades$1,9040 min
7/26/2026, 8:26:19 PM8 trades$1,7292 min
11/26/2025, 1:46:29 AM6 trades$1,6570 min
3/11/2026, 1:55:23 PM2 trades$1,6411 min
2/24/2026, 5:42:30 PM3 trades$1,5372 min
1/9/2026, 7:05:54 PM1 trades$1,5360 min
7/31/2026, 6:27:39 PM11 trades$1,4115 min
2/28/2026, 12:47:41 PM3 trades$1,3800 min
3/27/2026, 9:39:51 PM1 trades$1,3140 min
7/26/2026, 8:39:22 PM1 trades$1,2860 min
7/24/2026, 3:34:52 PM2 trades$1,1455 min
11/4/2025, 6:43:37 PM1 trades$1,1080 min
4/1/2026, 3:30:57 PM17 trades$9990 min
3/12/2026, 3:03:49 PM12 trades$9536 min
4/17/2026, 1:41:04 PM19 trades$9501 min
7/31/2026, 8:18:56 PM1 trades$9170 min
8/26/2025, 7:08:39 PM2 trades$8503 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-26
11-10
02-08
02-27
03-11
03-14
04-01
04-16
06-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 15 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.76/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.2 / M26.4 / H54.4