@menbollz

#70,70582

0x8362e4b602537946e0effa46b9513c9c805bd9fd

~45d· 29 markets · 64 tradesVol: $12,9612026-08-05 16:35:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

82
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

78% (14/18)20/20
1.59x (win $3,474 / loss $2,182)9.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.56215/15
Sortino 5.46610/10
$+0.1763 per $1 invested8.8/10
HHI 782 (18 markets)8.6/10
13/17 profitable days (76%)10/10
Max DD 96% of peak ($1,244 / $1,292)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 78%
Profitable
PnL $+1,278
Diamond Hands
5% sells
Consistent
13/17 profitable days
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🏗️Market Maker
91% maker orders

Categories

5
₿ CRYPTO#25,340$1,414Vol: $9,750
⚽ SPORTS#1,802,701$-563Vol: $1,247
🏛️ POLITICS#255,579$3Vol: $459
💰 FINANCE#132,651$1Vol: $161
📈 ECONOMICS#163,317$0Vol: $158

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,276
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,961
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
29
total markets
Trades
61B / 3S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~45d

Periods

#2
Today
$-3
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-5
Vol: $0
All Time
$1,276
Vol: $12,961

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
78%
14W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$1,278
Win Rate
78%
14W / 4L
Profit Factor
1.59x
Avg Win
$248
Avg Loss
$-546

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,596 (1.2490217561433714% of PnL)

Top Winners

Solana Up or Down on July 4?$561
Solana Up or Down on July 18?$523
XRP Up or Down on July 10?$512
Solana Up or Down on July 16?$487
XRP Up or Down on July 26?$482
XRP Up or Down on June 27?$467
PGL Astana: G2 vs. MIBR$430
Will Fomo launch a token by June 30 2026?$4
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in May?$4
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?$2

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 24?$-604
Oilers vs. Stars$-563
Ethereum Up or Down on July 2?$-544
Solana Up or Down on July 12?$-471

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.181
Sortino
1.367
HHI
610
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.201
Kelly %
50.6%
Half-Kelly
25.3%
Top-1 market
9.6%
Top-5 markets
40.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6h
between trades
Avg Gap
5.8h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.64
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.1

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 9238s — normal for humanCV 1.64 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours21/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal91% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.67
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)19.7%
High (>55c)80.3%

Sessions

#12
5/9/2025, 4:55:05 PM1 trades$7020 min
5/23/2025, 4:43:11 AM1 trades$6040 min
5/29/2025, 1:11:23 PM1 trades$5630 min
7/3/2025, 11:04:11 AM1 trades$5610 min
6/30/2025, 12:29:00 PM1 trades$5440 min
7/17/2025, 11:25:20 AM1 trades$5230 min
7/9/2025, 10:37:14 AM2 trades$5120 min
7/14/2025, 10:12:22 AM2 trades$4870 min
7/25/2025, 1:07:05 PM1 trades$4820 min
7/11/2025, 1:39:16 AM1 trades$4710 min
6/26/2025, 5:08:03 AM1 trades$4670 min
7/29/2026, 12:05:29 AM1 trades$540 min
6/10/2026, 8:40:09 AM1 trades$530 min
7/28/2026, 11:01:41 AM1 trades$530 min
5/29/2026, 2:53:39 PM1 trades$530 min
6/26/2026, 12:52:01 AM1 trades$520 min
6/29/2026, 6:32:29 AM3 trades$520 min
6/19/2026, 4:10:43 PM1 trades$520 min
7/1/2026, 7:10:38 AM1 trades$510 min
6/15/2026, 1:01:25 PM1 trades$510 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-09
05-29
06-30
07-09
07-14
07-25
04-02
06-10
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 52 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
4.7% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.67/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M19.7 / H80.3