@Retired-Davis

#3,071,89030

0x8365a0c9908dca494abaf0b90584162b474ce9a6

~286d· 393 markets · 8453 tradesVol: $12,916,1422026-08-05 17:28:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (176/317)12.8/20
0.92x (win $458,628 / loss $501,137)1.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4090/15
Sortino -0.6260/10
$-0.0097 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 240 (317 markets)10/10
74/135 profitable days (55%)6.2/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($166,022 / $0)0/10

Badges

7
Lottery Player
40% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 25.5 entries/market
Whale
$4,402,328 invested
High Roller
$7,010/day
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
89% maker orders

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#658$76,002Vol: $7,946,178
₿ CRYPTO#1,677,975$-99,537Vol: $2,761,462
📈 ECONOMICS#396$18,121Vol: $773,525
🎭 CULTURE#1,513$5,215Vol: $716,099
💰 FINANCE#657,889$-4,170Vol: $559,694
💻 TECH#259,517$-16,882Vol: $77,966
⚽ SPORTS#1,879,394$-12,730Vol: $59,343

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-34,747
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,916,142
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
393
total markets
Trades
5965B / 2488S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~286d

Periods

#2
Today
$-277
Vol: $0
Week
$-348
Vol: $0
Month
$-306
Vol: $0
All Time
$-34,747
Vol: $12,916,142

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
176W / 141L events
Realized PnL
$-34,747
Win Rate
56%
176W / 141L
Profit Factor
0.92x
Avg Win
$2,606
Avg Loss
$-3,658

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $202,391 (5.824698196879787% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?$89,167
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$74,192
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?$39,032
Ethereum all time high by June 30?$19,570
Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration?$17,866
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?$13,538
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$12,568
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be more than 72%?$11,244
Pump.fun >$10B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?$10,509
MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?$8,087

Top Losers

Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$-44,009
Will Trump win Iowa by 12+ points?$-35,500
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$-32,916
Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?$-30,171
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?$-24,115
Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?$-21,504
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$-20,206
Will Hyperliquid launch a token in November?$-18,700
Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?$-16,580
Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?$-16,273

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.021
Sortino
-0.025
HHI
202
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.010
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.5%
Top-5 markets
23.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.5
Active
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
34.6m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.2

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 138s — normal for humanCV 5.07 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active0.6 markets/day — normal89% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
25.49
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)39.8%
Mid (20-55c)23.3%
High (>55c)36.9%

Sessions

#12
6/2/2025, 1:08:11 AM16 trades$198,0410 min
4/9/2025, 4:27:53 PM2 trades$156,9680 min
5/15/2025, 10:52:10 PM160 trades$117,7142 min
6/16/2025, 1:48:05 PM2 trades$108,6542 min
6/1/2025, 9:59:49 PM16 trades$100,6293 min
7/7/2025, 3:32:01 AM5 trades$99,49412 min
7/8/2025, 1:57:55 PM3 trades$99,0001 min
6/1/2025, 9:11:47 PM6 trades$98,7742 min
6/1/2025, 7:36:51 PM8 trades$89,5858 min
11/6/2025, 1:29:47 PM5 trades$69,11710 min
3/25/2025, 2:42:50 PM1 trades$65,7140 min
2/14/2025, 6:19:31 PM2 trades$64,1471 min
8/28/2025, 6:49:35 PM10 trades$60,5143 min
9/18/2025, 11:24:48 AM4 trades$56,6738 min
5/12/2025, 4:41:18 AM6 trades$56,2447 min
5/7/2025, 11:23:29 AM6 trades$55,0402 min
7/12/2025, 5:01:20 AM6 trades$55,03810 min
12/30/2024, 1:58:24 AM8 trades$54,0007 min
11/13/2024, 12:31:15 PM2 trades$52,6651 min
12/31/2024, 9:16:00 PM1 trades$52,3210 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-27
01-13
04-01
05-18
07-24
10-29
06-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 25.49/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L39.8 / M23.3 / H36.9