@0x8403…6866

17

0x8403891ab448f88d7e22d7f6f16bce577af66866

~23d· 181 markets · 637 trades2026-08-04 23:48:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (73/177)5.6/20
0.58x (win $345 / loss $599)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.6710/15
Sortino -6.3600/10
$-0.1803 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 611 (177 markets)9.4/10
9/23 profitable days (39%)2.3/10
Max DD 183781% of peak ($294 / $0)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+30
Contrarian
50% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$30
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,408
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
181
total markets
Trades
311B / 326S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
73W / 104L events
Realized PnL
$30
Win Rate
41%
73W / 104L
Profit Factor
0.58x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $215 (7.234085550690468% of PnL)

Top Winners

Exact Score: FC Universitatea Cluj 0 - 0 FK Dynamo Kyiv?$174
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Morocco?$21
Exact Score: FC UNA Strassen 0 - 1 FK Partizan Beograd?$20
Exact Score: AIK 0 - 0 GAIS?$12
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 0.5$12
Atlético San Luis vs. CF Cruz Azul: Neither team to score first?$11
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 1.5$10
Exact Score: AA Argentinos Juniors 0 - 0 AA Estudiantes?$10
Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 1.5$8
Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: Neither team to score first?$5

Top Losers

AC Virtus vs. SK Dila Gori: O/U 1.5$-213
Exact Score: AC Virtus 0 - 1 SK Dila Gori?$-99
Exact Score: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC 0 - 0 Qingdao Xihaian FC?$-41
Will Meta (META) finish week of July 13 above $640?$-39
Exact Score: Universitatea Craiova CS 0 - 0 FK ML Viciebsk?$-31
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?$-24
Exact Score: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC 0 - 0 Daejeon Hana Citizen FC?$-23
CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 0.5$-15
The New Saints FC vs. FC Flora: O/U 1.5$-11
Exact Score: Chicago Stars FC 0 - 2 Angel City FC?$-9

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.342
Sortino
-0.292
HHI
434
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.184
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.6%
Top-5 markets
37.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
53s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 53s — normal for humanCV 1.47 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal1.2 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.5
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.4%
Mid (20-55c)41.8%
High (>55c)49.8%

Sessions

#12
7/16/2026, 8:17:16 PM44 trades$9475 min
7/9/2026, 8:25:26 PM51 trades$2713 min
7/18/2026, 1:33:54 PM4 trades$1391 min
7/17/2026, 4:31:03 PM4 trades$1090 min
7/16/2026, 5:45:59 PM15 trades$978 min
7/11/2026, 12:05:40 PM2 trades$880 min
7/16/2026, 6:35:01 PM5 trades$740 min
7/28/2026, 11:30:08 PM12 trades$660 min
7/29/2026, 12:44:55 AM4 trades$601 min
7/29/2026, 6:21:08 PM4 trades$561 min
8/1/2026, 11:27:45 AM8 trades$531 min
8/1/2026, 2:06:02 PM12 trades$511 min
7/31/2026, 7:31:03 PM4 trades$471 min
8/1/2026, 12:37:02 PM4 trades$471 min
7/30/2026, 5:59:56 PM4 trades$471 min
7/30/2026, 6:44:17 PM8 trades$436 min
7/18/2026, 10:49:36 PM12 trades$401 min
7/15/2026, 7:19:40 PM7 trades$401 min
7/18/2026, 11:08:09 PM12 trades$381 min
7/8/2026, 9:23:52 PM12 trades$386 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-04
03-07
03-10
07-10
07-13
07-17
07-28
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 139 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.5/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.4 / M41.8 / H49.8