@0x8450…4fcc

#1,586,15841

0x8450e0d504dbf81e20147dc5116f76cecc424fcc

~20d· 218 markets · 470 tradesVol: $7,0572026-08-04 20:39:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

41
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

78% (118/152)20/20
0.86x (win $125 / loss $145)0.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.2620/15
Sortino -1.4550/10
$-0.0130 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 200 (152 markets)10/10
40/54 profitable days (74%)10/10
Max DD 150% of peak ($75 / $50)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 78%
Consistent
40/54 profitable days
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🌤️ WEATHER#7,215$96Vol: $4,200
SPORTS#1,578,929$-46Vol: $1,032
💰 FINANCE#615,433$-43Vol: $586
🏛️ POLITICS#320,955$1Vol: $562
🎭 CULTURE#690,543$-10Vol: $406
💻 TECH#25,564$4Vol: $94
📈 ECONOMICS#606,576$-12Vol: $91
📢 MENTIONS#26,424$5Vol: $71

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-5
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,057
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
218
total markets
Trades
249B / 221S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d

Periods

#2
Today
$-6
Vol: $260
Week
$-4
Vol: $365
Month
$-2
Vol: $420
All Time
$-5
Vol: $7,057

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
77%
115W / 34L events
Realized PnL
$-5
Win Rate
77%
115W / 34L
Profit Factor
0.86x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $17 (3.337373737373737% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Hong Kong have between 525-550mm of precipitation in July?$8
Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$4
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$4
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 20?$3
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 20?$3
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 20?$3
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 25?$2
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 21?$2
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 26?$2

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 28?$-12
Will Marcus Armstrong win the Borchetta Bourbon Music City Grand Prix?$-11
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 25, 2026?$-10
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be at least 55.0 in July?$-10
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?$-9
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-9
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-9
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 29?$-9
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $465 in July?$-9
Will Clorox (CLX) beat quarterly earnings?$-9

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.066
Sortino
-0.055
HHI
44
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.019
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.9%
Top-5 markets
8.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
23.5
Active
Markets / Day
10.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
28.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.42
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.6

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 1715s — normal for humanCV 0.42 — uniform order sizes31% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock24 trades/day — high frequency11 markets/day — mass coverage53% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.1
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.8%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)99.2%

Sessions

#12
7/19/2026, 9:43:34 AM47 trades$24811 min
7/20/2026, 8:38:46 AM6 trades$2440 min
7/19/2026, 10:05:37 AM19 trades$1639 min
7/30/2026, 3:30:56 AM38 trades$12112 min
7/17/2026, 1:13:51 PM6 trades$381 min
7/29/2026, 8:24:57 AM12 trades$345 min
7/16/2026, 2:33:44 PM6 trades$330 min
7/25/2026, 5:16:22 PM6 trades$303 min
7/30/2026, 4:42:41 PM8 trades$293 min
7/29/2026, 1:57:35 AM5 trades$250 min
7/16/2026, 2:59:16 PM6 trades$250 min
7/20/2026, 3:30:10 AM4 trades$227 min
7/21/2026, 5:26:46 PM5 trades$221 min
7/23/2026, 2:30:09 AM4 trades$211 min
7/21/2026, 3:27:42 AM5 trades$203 min
7/26/2026, 12:59:40 AM2 trades$200 min
8/4/2026, 3:22:09 AM6 trades$193 min
7/27/2026, 10:45:40 AM4 trades$187 min
7/23/2026, 4:04:10 AM4 trades$172 min
7/16/2026, 2:53:43 PM4 trades$170 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-06-02 00:00:00
2026-07-23 12:00:00
2026-07-26 18:10:00
2026-07-29 21:00:00
2026-07-31 13:00:00
2026-08-02 23:59:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
56% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.1/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.8 / M0 / H99.2