@gwrrafone

#2,609,04743

0x846ae1690777480efdaba69ad840e88b91389a72

~16d· 71 markets · 161 tradesVol: $18,9532026-08-05 16:37:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

43
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (27/71)4/20
1.32x (win $732 / loss $557)6.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.32515/15
Sortino 2.87810/10
$+0.0596 per $1 invested3/10
HHI 2555 (71 markets)0/10
6/15 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 61% of peak ($275 / $451)1.8/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
90% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

4
⚽ SPORTS#242,824$17Vol: $17,123
₿ CRYPTO#1,495,904$-122Vol: $1,486
📢 MENTIONS#117,964$-6Vol: $172
🎭 CULTURE#681,605$-9Vol: $171

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-121
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$18,953
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
71
total markets
Trades
112B / 49S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

Periods

#2
Today
$-38
Vol: $450
Week
$-38
Vol: $450
Month
$-38
Vol: $450
All Time
$-121
Vol: $18,953

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
27W / 44L events
Realized PnL
$-121
Win Rate
38%
27W / 44L
Profit Factor
1.32x
Avg Win
$27
Avg Loss
$-13

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $579 (4.802837938760268% of PnL)

Top Winners

Argentina to score first vs. Jordan?$299
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?$248
Jordan vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$32
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?$22
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$9
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$8
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$8
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$8

Top Losers

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-240
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$-86
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$-80
France vs. England: O/U 1.5$-30
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$-13
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 16?$-11
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 21?$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$-10
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5$-9
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?$-8

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.067
Sortino
0.127
HHI
3479
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.060
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
52.7%
Top-5 markets
88.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 680s — normal for humanCV 4.73 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal55% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.27
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25%
Mid (20-55c)65.2%
High (>55c)9.8%

Sessions

#12
6/27/2026, 9:41:17 AM24 trades$3,3997 min
7/6/2026, 11:51:19 PM8 trades$5691 min
7/6/2026, 11:58:37 PM5 trades$3041 min
7/5/2026, 4:32:52 AM2 trades$1110 min
7/5/2026, 5:01:44 PM2 trades$1110 min
7/11/2026, 9:45:55 PM2 trades$1020 min
7/16/2026, 8:17:20 AM3 trades$1000 min
3/21/2026, 9:04:59 PM1 trades$860 min
3/21/2026, 5:49:59 PM1 trades$800 min
7/4/2026, 4:49:34 PM5 trades$610 min
7/4/2026, 9:11:02 PM2 trades$600 min
3/22/2026, 3:37:33 PM3 trades$241 min
7/9/2026, 9:48:22 PM3 trades$210 min
3/22/2026, 2:53:45 PM1 trades$200 min
7/2/2026, 3:21:17 PM2 trades$200 min
7/10/2026, 6:00:46 AM2 trades$200 min
3/21/2026, 4:07:47 PM1 trades$200 min
3/14/2026, 8:21:35 AM1 trades$180 min
3/21/2026, 4:52:07 PM2 trades$173 min
3/16/2026, 9:55:35 PM1 trades$150 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-14
03-17
03-22
03-24
07-04
07-06
07-10
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 19 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.27/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L25 / M65.2 / H9.8