Crowster

@Crowster

#403,16135

0x84900c70dbe2fe04e6d11f3e3ad06016face3243

~109d· 483 markets · 806 tradesVol: $25,3152026-08-05 17:24:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

61% (293/479)15.6/20
0.97x (win $2,876 / loss $2,950)2.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.2800/15
Sortino -0.3390/10
$-0.0083 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 48 (479 markets)10/10
60/105 profitable days (57%)6.8/10
Max DD 129% of peak ($329 / $255)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 61%
Profitable
PnL $+16
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
SPORTS#146,080$66Vol: $22,689
🏛️ POLITICS#1,134,541$-5Vol: $1,080
CRYPTO#1,277,347$-22Vol: $821
🎭 CULTURE#704,566$-13Vol: $169
💰 FINANCE#159,754$1Vol: $139

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$23
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$25,315
Total Redeem
$43
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
483
total markets
Trades
525B / 281S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~109d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $61
Week
$34
Vol: $672
Month
$47
Vol: $740
All Time
$23
Vol: $25,315

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
61%
293W / 186L events
Realized PnL
$16
Win Rate
61%
293W / 186L
Profit Factor
0.97x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-16

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $230 (14.753688261706221% of PnL)

Top Winners

France vs. Sweden: France O/U 1.5$89
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5$82
Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5$59
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5$51
Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5$41
Will France win on 2026-06-26?$40
Athletic Club vs. Real Madrid: O/U 2.5$39
Liverpool FC vs. Barnsley FC: O/U 3.5$35
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5$35
FC København vs. FK Polissia: O/U 2.5$34

Top Losers

AIK vs. GAIS: GAIS O/U 0.5$-249
Jazz vs. Cavaliers: O/U 246.5$-150
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5$-148
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?$-86
Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 221.5$-80
Liverpool vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5$-69
Hornets vs. Kings: O/U 227.5$-67
Athletic Club vs. Real Madrid: O/U 3.5$-64
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?$-64
KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF: KKS Lech Poznań O/U 1.5$-60

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.015
Sortino
-0.015
HHI
47
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.008
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.7%
Top-5 markets
7.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
33.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1998s — normal for humanCV 0.95 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal1.9 markets/day — normal5% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.7
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.9%
Mid (20-55c)19.8%
High (>55c)77.3%

Sessions

#12
12/3/2025, 7:52:05 PM2 trades$2082 min
7/6/2026, 6:10:34 PM4 trades$2085 min
3/21/2026, 11:41:15 PM3 trades$2070 min
11/27/2025, 9:54:59 PM6 trades$1895 min
6/30/2026, 9:36:17 AM2 trades$1780 min
4/7/2026, 9:02:29 PM4 trades$1740 min
12/3/2025, 6:09:15 PM2 trades$1641 min
7/18/2026, 8:40:07 AM4 trades$1590 min
1/13/2026, 1:38:51 AM3 trades$1500 min
4/4/2026, 6:12:33 PM6 trades$1494 min
11/27/2025, 7:46:57 PM3 trades$1323 min
1/10/2026, 7:18:32 PM2 trades$1311 min
1/12/2026, 9:31:49 PM4 trades$1273 min
2/26/2026, 10:02:08 PM4 trades$1263 min
4/6/2026, 7:34:15 PM7 trades$1120 min
11/26/2025, 9:36:17 PM3 trades$1097 min
2/18/2026, 9:23:14 PM3 trades$1060 min
3/19/2026, 7:32:27 PM4 trades$1052 min
2/24/2026, 7:45:10 PM3 trades$1052 min
2/7/2026, 4:39:17 PM2 trades$1040 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-15
12-02
01-28
02-15
03-11
03-29
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 19 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.7/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.9 / M19.8 / H77.3