@t1l4n0

#2,995,7590

0x84a980ca340d9fcaf5c3ef91545be4d7b9004eef

~50d· 215 markets · 417 tradesVol: $307,9282026-08-04 21:49:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

15% (33/215)0/20
0.16x (win $508 / loss $3,142)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.6400/15
Sortino -9.1890/10
$-0.7972 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 7204 (215 markets)0/10
6/41 profitable days (15%)0/10
Max DD 185586% of peak ($2,635 / $1)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
91% entries < $0.20

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,584,858$-341Vol: $109,490
📈 ECONOMICS#675,951$-502Vol: $78,757
🎭 CULTURE#808,659$-728Vol: $35,612
₿ CRYPTO#1,578,021$-388Vol: $31,389
⚽ SPORTS#131,890$84Vol: $24,032
💻 TECH#249,744$-105Vol: $21,880
📢 MENTIONS#141,257$-19Vol: $5,736

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,006
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$307,928
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
215
total markets
Trades
337B / 80S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~50d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
15%
33W / 182L events
Realized PnL
$-2,006
Win Rate
15%
33W / 182L
Profit Factor
0.16x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-17

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $418 (0.20834704562453252% of PnL)

Top Winners

Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?$319
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$58
Will Biden pardon Fauci?$40
Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 7?$16
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78000 and $80000 on Mar 7?$14
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80000 and $82000 on Mar 7?$13
Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?$11

Top Losers

30m Bluesky users in December?$-528
Debt ceiling raised or suspended by inauguration?$-430
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 10?$-233
Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad Schimel $-150
Will there be a US Government shutdown? $-114
Will the AfD win more than 26% of the vote in the German election?$-81
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-80
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?$-68
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 14?$-50
Will Ukraine join NATO before July?$-48

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.498
Sortino
-0.543
HHI
551
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.790
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16%
Top-5 markets
44%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
38s
between trades
Avg Gap
41.9m
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.05
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.2

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 38s — normal for humanCV 2.05 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal5% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.98
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)91.4%
Mid (20-55c)7.1%
High (>55c)1.5%

Sessions

#12
7/19/2026, 8:12:00 PM38 trades$22,9589 min
3/1/2025, 10:06:15 AM1 trades$3390 min
7/19/2026, 8:29:43 PM8 trades$1741 min
12/19/2024, 4:03:36 PM1 trades$1720 min
1/3/2025, 3:08:01 PM1 trades$1700 min
12/19/2024, 2:08:06 PM1 trades$1330 min
12/23/2024, 7:16:06 AM11 trades$12115 min
4/10/2025, 7:51:53 AM4 trades$1207 min
12/19/2024, 12:57:08 PM1 trades$1090 min
12/19/2024, 1:39:34 PM1 trades$940 min
4/10/2025, 10:35:12 AM1 trades$900 min
5/10/2025, 8:52:17 PM2 trades$811 min
4/1/2025, 6:59:59 AM1 trades$800 min
3/31/2025, 8:26:01 PM1 trades$700 min
3/3/2025, 8:37:41 AM23 trades$6311 min
7/27/2025, 1:38:05 PM2 trades$570 min
3/3/2025, 8:27:03 AM8 trades$515 min
2/23/2025, 7:16:08 PM4 trades$503 min
2/27/2025, 11:02:13 AM19 trades$5017 min
1/6/2025, 1:44:49 AM1 trades$500 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-18
12-25
01-22
02-23
03-05
04-10
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 578 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
19.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.98/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L91.4 / M7.1 / H1.5