@jconfusedpinetree
#14,478780x84dd457df4063f0a39581e36b94c513838708701
~192d· 197 markets · 1310 tradesVol: $405,1572026-08-04 23:42:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
78
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
64% (125/195)17.1/20
1.47x (win $24,259 / loss $16,556)8.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.10615/15
Sortino 3.14910/10
$+0.0556 per $1 invested2.8/10
HHI 218 (195 markets)10/10
77/110 profitable days (70%)10/10
Max DD 44% of peak ($4,837 / $10,896)5.1/10
Badges
7Sniper
Win rate 64%
Profitable
PnL $+10,166
DCA Master
Avg 6.7 entries/market
Whale
$138,551 invested
Consistent
77/110 profitable days
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
7🏛️ POLITICS#4,334$8,468Vol: $295,983
🎭 CULTURE#4,346$1,248Vol: $59,526
₿ CRYPTO#1,507,790$-142Vol: $6,361
💻 TECH#3,376$260Vol: $5,347
⚽ SPORTS#121,449$100Vol: $4,983
📈 ECONOMICS#7,979$213Vol: $3,401
📢 MENTIONS#4,378$172Vol: $1,843
Overview
#1Net PnL
$10,166
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$405,157
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
197
total markets
Trades
877B / 433S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~192d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
64%
125W / 70L events
Realized PnL
$10,166
Win Rate
64%
125W / 70L
Profit Factor
1.47x
Avg Win
$194
Avg Loss
$-243
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,005 (0.6890584530879122% of PnL)
Top Winners
India military action against Pakistan before June?$2,701
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?$2,473
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?$1,831
Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024?$1,070
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by February 25?$994
A$AP Rocky convicted of a felony?$725
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?$605
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?$594
Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?$554
India air/missile strike on Pakistan soil by Friday?$530
Top Losers
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?$-3,487
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?$-1,610
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$-1,232
Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?$-1,046
Will Israel strike Syria by September 15?$-825
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?$-763
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?$-663
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?$-653
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?$-479
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?$-448
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.110
Sortino
0.106
HHI
193
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.056
Kelly %
24.6%
Half-Kelly
12.3%
Top-1 market
6.2%
Top-5 markets
22%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.68
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.7
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 144s — normal for humanCV 1.68 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.7
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)3.6%
Mid (20-55c)21.7%
High (>55c)74.7%
Sessions
#124/29/2025, 3:08:18 AM2 trades$10,9993 min
5/6/2025, 8:46:58 PM5 trades$7,5680 min
12/6/2024, 2:06:32 PM5 trades$7,0583 min
10/13/2025, 8:00:55 AM5 trades$5,9734 min
10/8/2025, 10:16:52 PM2 trades$3,3341 min
3/2/2026, 1:52:25 PM10 trades$3,2195 min
3/3/2026, 2:49:45 PM3 trades$3,1941 min
5/7/2025, 5:14:24 PM1 trades$2,9780 min
5/8/2025, 8:30:05 PM1 trades$2,8970 min
3/8/2026, 7:13:51 PM2 trades$2,8083 min
5/31/2025, 3:03:46 PM3 trades$2,7831 min
11/27/2024, 3:28:12 AM1 trades$2,5610 min
3/3/2026, 4:39:47 PM1 trades$2,4310 min
6/3/2025, 9:51:48 AM9 trades$2,2866 min
1/6/2025, 6:39:23 AM14 trades$2,21312 min
10/12/2025, 10:55:32 AM4 trades$2,1957 min
10/9/2025, 9:02:10 AM3 trades$2,0961 min
12/2/2024, 7:52:17 AM7 trades$1,9979 min
5/9/2025, 2:46:01 PM3 trades$1,9903 min
2/1/2025, 10:54:04 PM3 trades$1,9064 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-04
12-10
01-14
02-28
05-12
10-14
03-22
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 155 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.7/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.6 / M21.7 / H74.7