@olddog05
#2,894,361360x851debb4326b96b26c6d5c6a76dd58c714e14781
~33d· 57 markets · 334 tradesVol: $24,2002026-08-04 23:13:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
68% (38/56)18.9/20
0.39x (win $750 / loss $1,928)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.4630/15
Sortino -5.3040/10
$-0.1170 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 606 (56 markets)9.5/10
15/25 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 2464% of peak ($1,228 / $50)0/10
Badges
4Sniper
Win rate 68%
DCA Master
Avg 6.0 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🏗️Market Maker
88% maker orders
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#1,610,009$-781Vol: $14,713
🎭 CULTURE#27,320$62Vol: $6,640
💰 FINANCE#618,520$-50Vol: $821
₿ CRYPTO#149,041$34Vol: $725
⚽ SPORTS#361,621$3Vol: $530
💻 TECH#30,019$3Vol: $400
📈 ECONOMICS#580,680$-6Vol: $343
🌤️ WEATHER#64,934$1Vol: $29
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-734
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$24,200
Total Redeem
$500
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
57
total markets
Trades
233B / 101S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~33d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-734
Vol: $24,200
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
68%
38W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$-734
Win Rate
68%
38W / 18L
Profit Factor
0.39x
Avg Win
$20
Avg Loss
$-107
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $481 (0.6550052428744569% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$264
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$153
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$64
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$41
Will Coco Gauff win the 2025 French Open?$27
Will Pump.fun launch a token by June 30? $27
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$21
Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?$19
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?$16
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?$12
Top Losers
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$-846
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 22, 2026?$-675
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? $-112
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?$-59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-45
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?$-32
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.3%?$-31
Trump x Khamenei talk before July?$-30
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$-29
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 French Open? $-26
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.280
Sortino
-0.197
HHI
705
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.107
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13%
Top-5 markets
49.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
58.9m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.11
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.4
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 158s — normal for humanCV 2.11 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal88% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.04
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)17.2%
Mid (20-55c)18.5%
High (>55c)64.4%
Sessions
#122/22/2026, 2:01:10 AM26 trades$1,28419 min
2/19/2026, 10:00:40 PM2 trades$9193 min
6/30/2026, 2:27:26 PM24 trades$76619 min
2/26/2026, 6:39:12 PM2 trades$6842 min
2/20/2026, 11:40:34 AM13 trades$59814 min
6/30/2026, 2:10:50 PM8 trades$5057 min
4/7/2026, 2:00:53 AM1 trades$4990 min
2/28/2026, 9:37:07 PM1 trades$4800 min
6/30/2026, 3:03:10 PM9 trades$41715 min
2/21/2026, 6:28:08 PM1 trades$4100 min
2/20/2026, 9:59:44 PM1 trades$3840 min
4/9/2026, 8:06:31 PM2 trades$3370 min
2/20/2026, 12:17:02 PM16 trades$32713 min
2/21/2026, 12:23:36 PM8 trades$2368 min
6/30/2026, 3:24:25 PM13 trades$2197 min
2/21/2026, 2:20:40 PM7 trades$1982 min
2/24/2026, 12:19:56 PM2 trades$1970 min
2/20/2026, 4:41:46 PM1 trades$1970 min
2/20/2026, 12:50:10 PM1 trades$1970 min
2/24/2026, 11:29:14 AM1 trades$1970 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-20
05-08
06-17
08-19
02-20
02-26
07-03
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 381 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.04/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L17.2 / M18.5 / H64.4