@Orculus

#2,809,3080

0x857a3e634cc289db0fbccd4c5953b63264cb6f66

~15d· 72 markets · 147 tradesVol: $74,2392026-08-04 20:57:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

18% (12/68)0/20
0.44x (win $387 / loss $890)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -19.9450/15
Sortino -14.0020/10
$-0.4972 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 9204 (68 markets)0/10
3/13 profitable days (23%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($502 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
65% entries < $0.20

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,552,006$-164Vol: $63,728
🌤️ WEATHER#281,295$-73Vol: $5,634
🎭 CULTURE#743,579$-30Vol: $2,590
₿ CRYPTO#1,370,211$-44Vol: $1,689
💰 FINANCE#606,432$-29Vol: $365
📢 MENTIONS#141,603$-20Vol: $202
📈 ECONOMICS#575,240$-5Vol: $31

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-366
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$74,239
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
72
total markets
Trades
84B / 63S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$3
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-366
Vol: $74,239

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
18%
12W / 56L events
Realized PnL
$-366
Win Rate
18%
12W / 56L
Profit Factor
0.44x
Avg Win
$32
Avg Loss
$-16

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $313 (0.8549101043772883% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?$242
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$40
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$31
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$21
Will Donald Trump's tie be red?$20

Top Losers

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-100
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$-99
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?$-80
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-60
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$-22
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?$-20
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$-20
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?$-20
XRP Up or Down - March 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$-20
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-1.003
Sortino
-1.464
HHI
403
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.469
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.9%
Top-5 markets
36.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
39.4m
between trades
Night Trading
51%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
47
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 88s — normal for humanCV 0.95 — diverse sizes (human-like)51% night trades — never sleeps16/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal12% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.99
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)65.5%
Mid (20-55c)22.6%
High (>55c)11.9%

Sessions

#12
6/11/2026, 1:49:19 AM2 trades$20,0000 min
6/11/2026, 2:44:00 AM2 trades$20,0000 min
5/14/2026, 11:11:02 PM29 trades$2815 min
3/1/2026, 4:10:25 AM1 trades$2520 min
1/10/2026, 6:20:48 AM1 trades$990 min
3/14/2026, 1:59:23 PM10 trades$9412 min
3/1/2026, 4:19:59 AM4 trades$705 min
2/23/2026, 2:08:54 AM6 trades$604 min
3/1/2026, 5:14:07 AM6 trades$604 min
7/1/2026, 1:15:49 AM12 trades$602 min
3/1/2026, 5:06:33 AM1 trades$500 min
7/1/2026, 1:30:07 AM5 trades$410 min
2/23/2026, 5:21:42 AM4 trades$401 min
2/23/2026, 6:48:20 PM2 trades$401 min
2/25/2026, 2:28:56 AM4 trades$403 min
3/1/2026, 4:32:07 AM4 trades$404 min
6/11/2026, 3:07:15 AM4 trades$330 min
2/25/2026, 2:11:32 AM1 trades$300 min
3/1/2026, 4:44:11 AM3 trades$301 min
3/1/2026, 5:46:39 PM3 trades$302 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-10
02-24
03-01
03-14
03-18
04-29
06-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.99/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L65.5 / M22.6 / H11.9