@0x858080…3569

#2,508,9085

0x8580807edf7a0b2bcf9ec00c910a174fccc63f7c

~9d· 28 markets · 200 tradesVol: $7,8492026-08-05 23:37:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

18% (5/28)0/20
0.24x (win $103 / loss $433)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -17.2420/15
Sortino -12.8010/10
$-0.7038 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1571 (28 markets)4.6/10
2/9 profitable days (22%)0/10
Max DD 44631% of peak ($330 / $1)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
47% entries < $0.20

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#283,769$-89Vol: $7,849

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-89
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,849
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
28
total markets
Trades
59B / 141S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~9d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
18%
5W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$-89
Win Rate
18%
5W / 23L
Profit Factor
0.24x
Avg Win
$21
Avg Loss
$-20

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $96 (1.078798825920072% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 15?$81
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 14?$8
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 14?$7
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 15?$6
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 21?$2

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 16?$-86
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 24?$-72
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 4?$-46
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C or higher on June 16?$-44
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 15?$-42
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 15?$-17
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 15?$-16
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on June 18?$-15
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 15?$-14
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 25?$-13

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.851
Sortino
-0.851
HHI
811
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.704
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.5%
Top-5 markets
55.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.33
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
37
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 468s — normal for humanCV 1.33 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule10 trades/day — normal1.3 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.14
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)47.5%
Mid (20-55c)32.2%
High (>55c)20.3%

Sessions

#12
6/15/2026, 10:15:31 AM18 trades$1,0291 min
6/15/2026, 10:26:55 AM3 trades$1,0000 min
6/15/2026, 2:45:37 PM5 trades$7050 min
6/15/2026, 2:37:25 PM2 trades$2000 min
6/14/2026, 11:10:00 PM19 trades$1394 min
6/15/2026, 7:03:36 PM4 trades$1341 min
6/16/2026, 5:59:48 AM19 trades$1277 min
6/15/2026, 8:33:06 PM15 trades$1150 min
6/18/2026, 7:27:40 AM4 trades$1090 min
6/14/2026, 3:08:15 PM6 trades$875 min
6/24/2026, 11:37:07 AM6 trades$830 min
6/24/2026, 6:36:04 PM4 trades$720 min
7/4/2026, 1:00:44 PM6 trades$700 min
6/15/2026, 8:39:54 PM9 trades$680 min
6/26/2026, 9:41:55 PM6 trades$660 min
6/24/2026, 7:33:19 AM5 trades$590 min
6/15/2026, 11:47:22 AM7 trades$380 min
6/16/2026, 10:53:42 AM3 trades$370 min
7/4/2026, 2:42:25 PM6 trades$300 min
6/14/2026, 3:18:06 PM6 trades$262 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-14
06-15
06-16
06-18
06-21
06-24
06-25
06-26
07-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 20 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
70.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.14/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L47.5 / M32.2 / H20.3