@Twin-Cholesterol
#43,513620x85936f5e0d0d5283b078467da8a73a0017504668
~42d· 104 markets · 1407 tradesVol: $429,6922026-08-04 18:46:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
62
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
34% (31/92)1.8/20
6.00x (win $42,224 / loss $7,034)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.80215/15
Sortino 42.93910/10
$+1.6142 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 6209 (92 markets)0/10
7/23 profitable days (30%)0.1/10
Max DD 9% of peak ($3,200 / $37,537)10/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+2,514
Cool Head
Max DD 9%
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
Categories
5🏛️ POLITICS#9,592$2,699Vol: $420,307
₿ CRYPTO#1,547,692$-229Vol: $8,959
🌤️ WEATHER#9,165$64Vol: $270
⚽ SPORTS#1,413,832$-15Vol: $96
🎭 CULTURE#635,880$-5Vol: $61
Overview
#1Net PnL
$2,514
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$429,692
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
104
total markets
Trades
427B / 980S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~42d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$-11
Vol: $4,340
Month
$-147
Vol: $15,496
All Time
$2,514
Vol: $429,692
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
33%
30W / 62L events
Realized PnL
$2,514
Win Rate
33%
30W / 62L
Profit Factor
6x
Avg Win
$1,362
Avg Loss
$-117
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $41,150 (16.370565746498148% of PnL)
Top Winners
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$37,290
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$3,447
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$413
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$277
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$213
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$124
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$65
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$57
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$52
Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?$38
Top Losers
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$-2,540
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-1,692
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?$-595
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?$-445
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$-311
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$-206
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-152
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$-100
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$-75
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$-70
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.195
Sortino
2.060
HHI
4416
Concentrated
EV per $1
$1.304
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
63.9%
Top-5 markets
95.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
7.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
45s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
20.4
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 45s — normal for humanCV 6.60 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
15.49
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)19.4%
Mid (20-55c)20.8%
High (>55c)59.7%
Sessions
#126/17/2026, 6:00:34 PM2 trades$100,0000 min
6/17/2026, 2:01:07 PM8 trades$75,3621 min
6/17/2026, 1:30:49 PM22 trades$28,69910 min
5/23/2026, 9:16:19 AM17 trades$10,0330 min
5/22/2026, 11:32:47 PM7 trades$8,1760 min
6/26/2026, 5:28:58 PM11 trades$7,9443 min
5/25/2026, 1:11:14 PM17 trades$6,4040 min
5/27/2026, 7:11:08 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
5/30/2026, 8:41:22 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
7/10/2026, 6:18:41 PM18 trades$3,7113 min
8/1/2026, 11:13:41 PM12 trades$3,5440 min
5/25/2026, 8:22:46 AM15 trades$3,4460 min
5/9/2026, 8:41:55 PM20 trades$3,18514 min
8/2/2026, 3:09:06 PM8 trades$2,9460 min
6/16/2026, 9:16:59 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
6/17/2026, 5:37:34 PM2 trades$1,8900 min
7/31/2026, 9:38:56 PM8 trades$1,6342 min
5/10/2026, 5:45:49 PM208 trades$1,51560 min
6/14/2026, 9:01:34 PM14 trades$1,2622 min
5/25/2026, 12:47:52 PM5 trades$1,1340 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-24
05-11
05-20
05-26
06-10
06-14
06-19
07-18
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
69.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.49/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.4 / M20.8 / H59.7