@0x85fF1D…1909

#2,302,63079

0x85ff1deb08862f7c98ee1ee24885aed2922c0d46

~13d· 40 markets · 153 tradesVol: $16,9502026-08-04 20:40:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

79
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (11/24)7.9/20
4.85x (win $89 / loss $18)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 7.50515/15
Sortino 100.17910/10
$+0.1486 per $1 invested7.4/10
HHI 1287 (24 markets)6.1/10
6/10 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 6% of peak ($4 / $71)10/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
32% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 6%

Categories

6
🎭 CULTURE#718,269$-18Vol: $10,678
🌤️ WEATHER#262,120$-21Vol: $4,498
🏛️ POLITICS#1,261,949$-10Vol: $1,700
₿ CRYPTO#387,657$1Vol: $46
⚽ SPORTS#330,942$5Vol: $15
💰 FINANCE#427,831$-0Vol: $13

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-42
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,950
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
40
total markets
Trades
82B / 71S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

Periods

#2
Today
$10
Vol: $758
Week
$8
Vol: $1,112
Month
$-0
Vol: $1,330
All Time
$-42
Vol: $16,950

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
11W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-42
Win Rate
46%
11W / 13L
Profit Factor
4.85x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $87 (2.0480018917001654% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 28?$67
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 30?$13
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 4?$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$1
Will Russia enter Toretske by January 31?$1
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$0
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 11PM ET$0
Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of January 2026?$0

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 28?$-6
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 30?$-4
Will the US strike Somalia next?$-3
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$-1
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$-1
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?$-1
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$-1
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.373
Sortino
3.982
HHI
45
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.796
Kelly %
11.3%
Half-Kelly
5.7%
Top-1 market
4.8%
Top-5 markets
12.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.92
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
34
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 70s — normal for humanCV 1.92 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.42
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)31.7%
Mid (20-55c)19.5%
High (>55c)48.8%

Sessions

#12
8/4/2026, 10:59:38 AM19 trades$3104 min
8/4/2026, 12:07:38 PM13 trades$1221 min
8/3/2026, 2:12:36 AM24 trades$1121 min
8/4/2026, 11:50:57 AM15 trades$993 min
7/30/2026, 10:11:45 AM9 trades$601 min
8/4/2026, 12:21:39 PM8 trades$561 min
7/27/2026, 10:05:31 AM4 trades$400 min
7/30/2026, 8:18:09 PM2 trades$390 min
8/3/2026, 4:09:17 AM4 trades$390 min
7/27/2026, 9:59:51 AM4 trades$310 min
7/26/2026, 1:38:45 PM2 trades$200 min
7/30/2026, 3:12:09 AM7 trades$175 min
7/28/2026, 11:54:14 PM2 trades$150 min
8/4/2026, 2:20:35 PM4 trades$140 min
7/28/2026, 11:18:37 AM2 trades$100 min
8/4/2026, 8:18:26 AM2 trades$80 min
7/31/2026, 12:19:05 PM2 trades$80 min
7/27/2026, 1:55:16 PM4 trades$72 min
7/31/2026, 11:20:23 PM2 trades$50 min
8/3/2026, 12:22:02 PM2 trades$40 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-17
01-24
01-25
02-07
03-14
07-27
07-28
07-30
07-31
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 49 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
37.5% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.42/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L31.7 / M19.5 / H48.8